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Super League 2 · Matchday 9

PAOK II vs Zakynthos

Alin prediction PAOK II to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PAOK IIDrawZakynthos
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.81.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
PAOK II2.05 Draw3.25 Zakynthos3.30

Price as of

Expected return at 2.05: +0.0% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 1 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

PAOK II vs Zakynthos preview

In the Super League 2 fixture between PAOK II and Zakynthos, the 1X2 probabilities show PAOK II at 49% to win, while Zakynthos sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 12% chance according to our model. PAOK II's expected goals are 1.89, significantly higher than Zakynthos's 0.81.

Despite PAOK II's advantage in form, with recent results showing L-W-L-D-L-W, they could face challenges if Zakynthos manages to improve their performance, as they have a recent record of L-D-L-D-L-L. The model indicates a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score, suggesting potential for a more competitive match than the numbers imply.

PAOK II vs Zakynthos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePAOK IIDrawZakynthos
Model62%24%14%
Market44%28%28%
Published49%27%24%
Edge+4%-1%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices PAOK II below our published probability: +4.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

PAOK II and Zakynthos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.89PAOK II
0.81Zakynthos
Total expected goals
2.71
Attack rating (PAOK II / Zakynthos)
0.89 / 0.83
Defence rating (PAOK II / Zakynthos)
1.01 / 1.62

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

PAOK II vs Zakynthos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 1 11.6% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3% 2 12.0% 9.7% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 3 7.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 5.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: PAOK II goals. Columns: Zakynthos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

PAOK II vs Zakynthos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
48%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for PAOK II vs Zakynthos

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2PAOK II49%2.05
Draw27%3.71
Zakynthos24%4.12
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.97
Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to scoreYes48%2.07
No52%1.93
Double chance1X (PAOK II or draw)76%1.32
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Zakynthos)51%1.95
Handicap -1PAOK II win by 2+38%2.65
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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PAOK II and Zakynthos recent form

PAOK II 2W 1D 3L
Zakynthos 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

PAOK II at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Zakynthos away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: PAOK II at home only, Zakynthos away only.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot PAOK II to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on PAOK II
Our pick: PAOK II to win 18+ Bet Now