Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II preview
In the fixture between Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II, the 1X2 probabilities show Larisa at 71% to win, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 at 12%. The expected goals indicate Larisa scoring 2.30, while Olympiakos Piraeus II is projected to score only 0.78.
However, the model assigns a confidence grade of C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a possibility that Olympiakos Piraeus II could find the net. Additionally, the Over 2.5 goals probability is at 60%, meaning there’s a chance the match could have more than two goals, which could affect the overall dynamics of the game.
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: model vs market
| Source | Larisa | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Larisa / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 1.13 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Larisa / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 0.87 / 1.56
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larisa | 71% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.23 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 10% | 9.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Larisa or draw) | 90% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympiakos Piraeus II) | 29% | 3.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win by 2+ | 48% | 2.08 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Larisa and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
Larisa
2W 3D 1L
Olympiakos Piraeus II
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Larisa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Olympiakos Piraeus II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Larisa at home only, Olympiakos Piraeus II away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Panionios vs Panserraikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas — match page 2026-11-01
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Marko vs Apollon Pontou 2026-11-01
- PAOK II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-11-01
- Ellas Syros vs Kallithea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Larisa, previous: Larisa vs OFI prediction
- Olympiakos Piraeus II, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus II – Nestos Chrisoupolis, 2026-10-24