Ellas Syros vs Kallithea preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Ellas Syros and Kallithea, the 1X2 probabilities show Ellas Syros at 36%, a draw also at 36%, and Kallithea at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with an expected goals total of 0.94 for Ellas Syros and 0.79 for Kallithea.
Both teams have mixed recent form, with Ellas Syros recording L-D-L-D-D-W and Kallithea on a stronger run of D-D-W-W-W-W. While the chance of Over 2.5 goals stands at 25% and both teams to score at 35%, the low expected goals suggest a tight match. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Ellas Syros vs Kallithea: model vs market
| Source | Ellas Syros | Draw | Kallithea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 36% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 36% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ellas Syros and Kallithea expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.73
- Attack rating (Ellas Syros / Kallithea)
- 1.05 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Ellas Syros / Kallithea)
- 0.80 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ellas Syros vs Kallithea score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ellas Syros goals. Columns: Kallithea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ellas Syros vs Kallithea goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ellas Syros vs Kallithea
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ellas Syros | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Kallithea | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25% | 4.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.90 |
| No | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ellas Syros or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| X2 (draw or Kallithea) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ellas Syros win by 2+ | 14% | 7.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Ellas Syros and Kallithea recent form
Ellas Syros
1W 3D 2L
Kallithea
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ellas Syros at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Kallithea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ellas Syros at home only, Kallithea away only.
Ellas Syros vs Kallithea head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ellas Syros 1 · draws 2 · Kallithea 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Ellas Syros | 0-0 | Kallithea | Super League 2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Kallithea | 1-1 | Ellas Syros | Super League 2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Ellas Syros | 2-0 | Kallithea | Super League 2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Kallithea | 1-0 | Ellas Syros | Super League 2 |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Panionios vs Panserraikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II 2026-11-01
- Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas — match page 2026-11-01
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Marko vs Apollon Pontou 2026-11-01
- PAOK II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-11-01
- Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ellas Syros, previous: Panserraikos v Ellas Syros analysis
- Kallithea, previous: Kallithea – Larisa, 2026-10-24