Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 preview
In the fixture between Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968, the 1X2 probabilities show Asteras Tripolis II at 47% to win, while Pyrgos 1968 sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 18% chance. Asteras Tripolis II has an expected goals figure of 1.14 compared to Pyrgos 1968's 0.62, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions. Both teams to score has a 33% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at just 26%. This means if Pyrgos 1968 improves their recent form, the predicted outcome could change significantly.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968: model vs market
| Source | Asteras Tripolis II | Draw | Pyrgos 1968 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 22% |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.86.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.09
- Attack rating (Asteras Tripolis II / Pyrgos 1968)
- 0.86 / 0.81
- Defence rating (Asteras Tripolis II / Pyrgos 1968)
- 1.11 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asteras Tripolis II goals. Columns: Pyrgos 1968 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 | |
| Pyrgos 1968 | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.37 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asteras Tripolis II or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Pyrgos 1968) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis II win by 2+ | 20% | 5.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Asteras Tripolis II and Pyrgos 1968 recent form
Asteras Tripolis II
2W 3D 1L
Pyrgos 1968
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asteras Tripolis II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Pyrgos 1968 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They average 0.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asteras Tripolis II at home only, Pyrgos 1968 away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Panionios vs Panserraikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II 2026-11-01
- Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas — match page 2026-11-01
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Marko vs Apollon Pontou 2026-11-01
- PAOK II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-11-01
- Ellas Syros vs Kallithea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Asteras Tripolis II, previous: Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II: odds and pick
- Pyrgos 1968, previous: Zakynthos vs Pyrgos 1968 prediction