Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II preview
In the match between Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II, the 1X2 probabilities show Pyrgos 1968 at 39%, while both PAOK II and a draw sit at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 for Pyrgos 1968, with a 14% chance.
Pyrgos 1968 has an expected goals figure of 1.10, compared to PAOK II's 0.87. While the chance for Over 2.5 goals is at 32%, both teams to score stands at 40%. This suggests that while Pyrgos 1968 may edge the match, a low-scoring affair is quite possible, particularly if both teams struggle to convert their chances.
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II: model vs market
| Source | Pyrgos 1968 | Draw | PAOK II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Published | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pyrgos 1968, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrgos 1968 | 2.33 | 2.21 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.17 | +0.07 |
| PAOK II | 2.92 | 3.12 | +0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.97
- Attack rating (Pyrgos 1968 / PAOK II)
- 0.82 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Pyrgos 1968 / PAOK II)
- 1.06 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pyrgos 1968 goals. Columns: PAOK II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pyrgos 1968 | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | |
| PAOK II | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.17 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.49 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pyrgos 1968 or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or PAOK II) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyrgos 1968 win by 2+ | 17% | 6.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pyrgos 1968 and PAOK II recent form
Pyrgos 1968
2W 2D 2L
PAOK II
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pyrgos 1968 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
PAOK II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pyrgos 1968 at home only, PAOK II away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panserraikos v Apollon Pontou — match page 2026-11-07
- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Kallithea vs Panionios 2026-11-08
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Pyrgos 1968, previous: Asteras Tripolis II – Pyrgos 1968, 2026-11-01
- PAOK II, previous: PAOK II vs Zakynthos: odds and pick