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Super League 2 · Matchday 10

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros

Alin prediction Ellas Syros to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Olympiakos Piraeus IIDrawEllas Syros
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Olympiakos Piraeus II2.75 Draw3.25 Ellas Syros2.55

Price as of

Expected return at 2.55: +2.9% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 6 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros preview

In the match between Olympiakos Piraeus II and Ellas Syros, the 1X2 probabilities show Olympiakos Piraeus II at 28%, a draw at 29%, and Ellas Syros at 43%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. This suggests that Ellas Syros is favored to win, supported by their expected goals of 1.50 compared to Olympiakos Piraeus II's 0.87.

However, Olympiakos Piraeus II has a head-to-head advantage with 1 win and 1 draw in their last 2 meetings against Ellas Syros. Recent form also shows Olympiakos Piraeus II struggling with 5 games without a win (L-L-D-L-D-L), while Ellas Syros has mixed results with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 6 games. This could impact the outcome of the match.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOlympiakos Piraeus IIDrawEllas Syros
Model21%29%51%
Market34%29%37%
Published31%29%40%
Edge-3%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Ellas Syros below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Ellas Syros, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 2.22Now 2.46 +0.24
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Olympiakos Piraeus II2.942.67-0.27
Draw3.093.12+0.04
Ellas Syros2.222.46+0.24

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Olympiakos Piraeus II and Ellas Syros expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.87Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.50Ellas Syros
Total expected goals
2.38
Attack rating (Olympiakos Piraeus II / Ellas Syros)
0.91 / 1.00
Defence rating (Olympiakos Piraeus II / Ellas Syros)
1.57 / 0.72

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.5% 12.7% 10.5% 5.3% 2.8% 1 6.9% 13.4% 9.2% 4.6% 2.4% 2 3.5% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1% 3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 4+ 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus II goals. Columns: Ellas Syros goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Olympiakos Piraeus II31%3.26
Draw29%3.46
Ellas Syros40%2.48
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.36
Under 2.558%1.74
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.15
No54%1.87
Double chance1X (Olympiakos Piraeus II or draw)60%1.68
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or Ellas Syros)69%1.44
Handicap -1Ellas Syros win by 2+27%3.75
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Olympiakos Piraeus II and Ellas Syros recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus II 0W 2D 4L
Ellas Syros 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Olympiakos Piraeus II at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Ellas Syros away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Olympiakos Piraeus II at home only, Ellas Syros away only.

Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Ellas Syros head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Olympiakos Piraeus II 1 · draws 1 · Ellas Syros 0.

Olympiakos Piraeus IIDrawsEllas Syros
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-22Olympiakos Piraeus II2-2Ellas SyrosSuper League 2
2025-09-21Ellas Syros0-1Olympiakos Piraeus IISuper League 2

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Ellas Syros to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Ellas Syros
Our pick: Ellas Syros to win 18+ Bet Now