Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos preview
Asteras Tripolis II faces Zakynthos with a 62% chance of winning compared to Zakynthos's 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Asteras Tripolis II has an expected goals figure of 1.73, while Zakynthos sits at 0.68.
Despite the strong numbers for Asteras Tripolis II, the match could see less than 2.5 goals, as there's a 43% chance of that outcome. Both teams to score has a 42% probability, indicating a possibility that Zakynthos might find the net. The recent form shows Asteras Tripolis II with mixed results, while Zakynthos has struggled, drawing just twice in their last six matches.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos: model vs market
| Source | Asteras Tripolis II | Draw | Zakynthos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.42
- Attack rating (Asteras Tripolis II / Zakynthos)
- 0.81 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Asteras Tripolis II / Zakynthos)
- 1.06 / 1.61
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asteras Tripolis II goals. Columns: Zakynthos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asteras Tripolis II vs Zakynthos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asteras Tripolis II | 62% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Zakynthos | 13% | 7.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asteras Tripolis II or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Zakynthos) | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | Asteras Tripolis II win by 2+ | 36% | 2.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asteras Tripolis II and Zakynthos recent form
Asteras Tripolis II
2W 1D 3L
Zakynthos
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asteras Tripolis II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Zakynthos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asteras Tripolis II at home only, Zakynthos away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Marko vs Ellas Syros — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Larisa v Panserraikos — match page 2026-10-18
- Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kallithea — match page 2026-10-18
- Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Niki Volos vs Panionios 2026-10-18
- PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Asteras Tripolis II, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus II v Asteras Tripolis II analysis
- Zakynthos, previous: Anagennisi Karditsas vs Zakynthos prediction