Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas preview

In the Super League 2 fixture between Pyrgos 1968 and Anagennisi Karditsas, the 1X2 probabilities show Anagennisi Karditsas at 39%, while Pyrgos 1968 sits at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 12% chance.

Pyrgos 1968 has an expected goals figure of 0.95, compared to Anagennisi Karditsas at 0.66, indicating a tighter contest. However, the low probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams to score at 31% suggest that scoring may be limited. Any unexpected performance improvement from either side could alter these expectations.

Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Pyrgos 1968	Draw	Anagennisi Karditsas
Model	40%	37%	23%
Market	25%	30%	44%
Published	29%	32%	39%
Edge	+14%	+7%	-21%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded 2026-10-14 — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.

Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Anagennisi Karditsas, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-13.

Opened 2.05Now 2.07 +0.02

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Pyrgos 1968	3.60	3.60	+0.00
Draw	2.94	3.00	+0.06
Anagennisi Karditsas	2.05	2.07	+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Pyrgos 1968 and Anagennisi Karditsas expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.95Pyrgos 1968

0.66Anagennisi Karditsas

Total expected goals: 1.61
Attack rating (Pyrgos 1968 / Anagennisi Karditsas): 0.65 / 0.68
Defence rating (Pyrgos 1968 / Anagennisi Karditsas): 1.03 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 21.2% 11.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 1 17.7% 13.8% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 2 9.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 3 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Pyrgos 1968 goals. Columns: Anagennisi Karditsas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 79%

Over 1.5 49%

Over 2.5 22%

Over 3.5 8%

Both teams to score: 31%
No goals (0–0): 21%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Pyrgos 1968	29%	3.45
	Draw	32%	3.11
	Anagennisi Karditsas	39%	2.57
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	22%	4.56
	Under 2.5	78%	1.28
Both teams to score	Yes	31%	3.24
	No	69%	1.45
Double chance	1X (Pyrgos 1968 or draw)	61%	1.64
	12 (either side)	68%	1.47
	X2 (draw or Anagennisi Karditsas)	71%	1.41
Handicap -1	Anagennisi Karditsas win by 2+	7%	15.04
	Push (exactly one goal)	17%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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