Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II, the 1X2 probabilities show Panthrakikos at 48%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Panthrakikos has an expected goals figure of 1.74, while Olympiakos Piraeus II sits at 0.76.
However, the match could see unexpected results. Both teams to score stands at 45%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 46%. Recent form indicates Panthrakikos has mixed results with L-D-L-W-W-D, while Olympiakos Piraeus II has struggled with D-L-L-W-D-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: model vs market
| Source | Panthrakikos | Draw | Olympiakos Piraeus II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Published | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Edge | +17% | -3% | -14% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Panthrakikos below the model: +16.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panthrakikos, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 2.30 | 2.12 | -0.18 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.19 | +0.08 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 2.80 | 3.31 | +0.52 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Panthrakikos / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 0.84 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Panthrakikos / Olympiakos Piraeus II)
- 0.87 / 1.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Olympiakos Piraeus II | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.43 |
| No | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panthrakikos or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympiakos Piraeus II) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panthrakikos win by 2+ | 34% | 2.92 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panthrakikos and Olympiakos Piraeus II recent form
Panthrakikos
2W 2D 2L
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panthrakikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
Olympiakos Piraeus II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panthrakikos at home only, Olympiakos Piraeus II away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Asteras Tripolis II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-10-17
- Marko vs Ellas Syros — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Larisa v Panserraikos — match page 2026-10-18
- Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kallithea — match page 2026-10-18
- Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Niki Volos vs Panionios 2026-10-19
- PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Panthrakikos, previous: Kallithea v Panthrakikos analysis
- Olympiakos Piraeus II, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus II – Kallithea, 2026-10-14