Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea, the 1X2 probabilities show Kallithea at 49%, compared to Nestos Chrisoupolis at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance according to our model. Nestos Chrisoupolis has struggled recently, recording four losses and only one win in their last six matches, while Kallithea has three wins in their last six.
The expected goals indicate Nestos Chrisoupolis at 0.88 and Kallithea at 1.33. There is a 38% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. However, if Nestos Chrisoupolis can improve their form, they may challenge Kallithea's current momentum.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea: model vs market
| Source | Nestos Chrisoupolis | Draw | Kallithea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 31% | 47% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Published | 22% | 29% | 49% |
| Edge | 0% | +3% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kallithea, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestos Chrisoupolis | 3.85 | 4.20 | +0.35 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.20 | +0.05 |
| Kallithea | 1.91 | 1.81 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.12
- Attack rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Kallithea)
- 0.87 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Kallithea)
- 1.21 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nestos Chrisoupolis goals. Columns: Kallithea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kallithea
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 22% | 4.60 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Kallithea | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nestos Chrisoupolis or draw) | 51% | 1.97 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Kallithea) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kallithea win by 2+ | 22% | 4.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Nestos Chrisoupolis and Kallithea recent form
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1W 0D 5L
Kallithea
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nestos Chrisoupolis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
Kallithea away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nestos Chrisoupolis at home only, Kallithea away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Asteras Tripolis II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-10-17
- Marko vs Ellas Syros — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Larisa v Panserraikos — match page 2026-10-18
- Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Niki Volos vs Panionios 2026-10-19
- PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Nestos Chrisoupolis, previous: Panserraikos – Nestos Chrisoupolis, 2026-10-10
- Nestos Chrisoupolis, next: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata prediction
- Kallithea, previous: Olympiakos Piraeus II – Kallithea, 2026-10-14