Marko vs Ellas Syros preview
In the Super League 2 fixture on 2026-10-17, Marko has a 41% chance to win against Ellas Syros, who has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 15%. Marko's expected goals stand at 1.11, while Ellas Syros has 0.84.
Marko's recent form shows 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Ellas Syros has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals are at 31%, and both teams to score is at 39%. A draw could disrupt the expected outcome, given the 34% probability of that result.
Marko vs Ellas Syros: model vs market
| Source | Marko | Draw | Ellas Syros |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 34% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Marko and Ellas Syros expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Marko / Ellas Syros)
- 1.28 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Marko / Ellas Syros)
- 0.83 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Marko vs Ellas Syros score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Marko goals. Columns: Ellas Syros goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Marko vs Ellas Syros goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Marko vs Ellas Syros
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marko | 41% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Ellas Syros | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.54 |
| No | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Marko or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Ellas Syros) | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win by 2+ | 17% | 5.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Marko and Ellas Syros recent form
Marko
5W 0D 1L
Ellas Syros
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Marko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Ellas Syros away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Marko at home only, Ellas Syros away only.
Marko vs Ellas Syros head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Marko 2 · draws 2 · Ellas Syros 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Ellas Syros | 1-1 | Marko | Greece Cup |
| 2025-12-13 | Ellas Syros | 0-2 | Marko | Super League 2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Marko | 1-1 | Ellas Syros | Super League 2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Ellas Syros | 2-0 | Marko | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| 2023-10-01 | Marko | 1-0 | Ellas Syros | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Asteras Tripolis II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-10-17
- Larisa v Panserraikos — match page 2026-10-18
- Panthrakikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus II — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kallithea — match page 2026-10-18
- Pyrgos 1968 vs Anagennisi Karditsas — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Niki Volos vs Panionios 2026-10-18
- PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Marko, previous: Marko vs Larisa prediction
- Marko, next: Marko – Olympiakos Piraeus, 2026-10-28
- Ellas Syros, previous: Ellas Syros vs Niki Volos: odds and pick