Niki Volos vs Panionios Prediction & Betting Tips 18/10/2026

Niki Volos vs Panionios preview

In the Super League 2 fixture between Niki Volos and Panionios, the 1X2 probabilities show Niki Volos at 24%, a draw at 39%, and Panionios at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 24% chance according to our model.

Niki Volos has an expected goals figure of 0.64, while Panionios has 0.86. With only a 19% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, low-scoring play seems probable. However, unexpected performances or defensive errors could change the outcome.

Niki Volos vs Panionios: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Niki Volos	Draw	Panionios
Model	24%	39%	37%
Market	—	—	—
Published	24%	39%	37%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Niki Volos and Panionios expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.64Niki Volos

0.86Panionios

Total expected goals: 1.50
Attack rating (Niki Volos / Panionios): 0.86 / 1.02
Defence rating (Niki Volos / Panionios): 0.90 / 0.56

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Niki Volos vs Panionios score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 23.6% 18.0% 8.3% 2.4% 0.6% 1 13.1% 13.5% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4% 2 4.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 3 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Niki Volos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Niki Volos vs Panionios goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 76%

Over 1.5 45%

Over 2.5 19%

Over 3.5 7%

Both teams to score: 28%
No goals (0–0): 24%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Niki Volos vs Panionios

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Niki Volos	24%	4.14
	Draw	39%	2.57
	Panionios	37%	2.70
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	19%	5.24
	Under 2.5	81%	1.24
Both teams to score	Yes	28%	3.51
	No	72%	1.40
Double chance	1X (Niki Volos or draw)	63%	1.59
	12 (either side)	61%	1.64
	X2 (draw or Panionios)	76%	1.32
Handicap -1	Panionios win by 2+	13%	7.54
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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