CD Marathon vs Platense FC preview
In the match between CD Marathon and Platense FC, the 1X2 probabilities show CD Marathon at 72%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 at 12%. CD Marathon has an expected goals figure of 2.40, while Platense FC sits at 0.80. This indicates a strong likelihood of a home win.
However, the recent form of both teams could affect the outcome. CD Marathon has a mixed record with D-W-D-L-W-W, while Platense FC has struggled, recording L-L-W-L-D-L. Additionally, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 62% and both teams to score is at 51%, any unexpected performance from Platense FC could change the dynamics of the match.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC: model vs market
| Source | CD Marathon | Draw | Platense FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 71% | 19% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CD Marathon and Platense FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (CD Marathon / Platense FC)
- 0.97 / 0.81
- Defence rating (CD Marathon / Platense FC)
- 0.80 / 1.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CD Marathon goals. Columns: Platense FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CD Marathon vs Platense FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Marathon | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.39 | |
| Platense FC | 11% | 9.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CD Marathon or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Platense FC) | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Marathon win by 2+ | 49% | 2.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CD Marathon and Platense FC recent form
CD Marathon
2W 2D 2L
Platense FC
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CD Marathon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Platense FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 3.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CD Marathon at home only, Platense FC away only.
CD Marathon vs Platense FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CD Marathon 3 · draws 5 · Platense FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Platense FC | 1-1 | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-05 | Platense FC | 3-1 | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-13 | CD Marathon | 2-2 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-21 | Platense FC | 2-2 | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-19 | CD Marathon | 3-0 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-08 | CD Marathon | 1-0 | Platense FC | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-12 | Platense FC | 1-1 | CD Marathon | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2022-04-21 | Platense FC | 1-0 | CD Marathon | Liga Nacional |
| 2022-01-21 | CD Marathon | 1-0 | Platense FC | Liga Nacional |
| 2021-10-24 | CD Marathon | 1-1 | Platense FC | Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
- Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm — team news & stats 2026-11-04
- Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua 2026-11-04
- CD Olimpia v Juticalpa — match page 2026-11-05
- Génesis vs Real Espana — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- CD Marathon, previous: CD Motagua v CD Marathon analysis
- CD Marathon, next: CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma analysis
- Platense FC, previous: Olancho – Platense FC, 2026-11-02
- Platense FC, next: Platense FC vs Génesis prediction