CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa preview
CD Olimpia faces Juticalpa with a strong 1X2 probability of 79% for a home win. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.60 for Olimpia and just 0.64 for Juticalpa. Olimpia's recent form shows 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 6 matches, while Juticalpa has lost 5 of their last 6.
However, there are factors that could challenge this prediction. Juticalpa has managed to win once recently, and the probability for both teams to score is 44%. If Juticalpa can improve their attacking play, they might find the net, which could affect the outcome and the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 63%.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa: model vs market
| Source | CD Olimpia | Draw | Juticalpa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 83% | 12% | 4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 83% | 12% | 4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.50
- Attack rating (CD Olimpia / Juticalpa)
- 1.33 / 0.75
- Defence rating (CD Olimpia / Juticalpa)
- 0.62 / 1.41
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CD Olimpia goals. Columns: Juticalpa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 83% | 1.20 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.29 | |
| Juticalpa | 4% | 22.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CD Olimpia or draw) | 96% | 1.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| X2 (draw or Juticalpa) | 17% | 6.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win by 2+ | 65% | 1.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CD Olimpia and Juticalpa recent form
CD Olimpia
5W 0D 1L
Juticalpa
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CD Olimpia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juticalpa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CD Olimpia at home only, Juticalpa away only.
CD Olimpia vs Juticalpa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CD Olimpia 7 · draws 3 · Juticalpa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Juticalpa | 1-3 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-23 | Juticalpa | 1-6 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-02-01 | CD Olimpia | 2-2 | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-19 | Juticalpa | 0-2 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-10 | CD Olimpia | 2-2 | Juticalpa | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-03-11 | Juticalpa | 1-2 | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| 2025-01-26 | CD Olimpia | 3-0 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-11-03 | Juticalpa | 0-2 | CD Olimpia | Liga Nacional |
| 2024-08-26 | CD Olimpia | 1-1 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
| 2019-04-11 | CD Olimpia | 4-0 | Juticalpa | Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
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- Génesis vs Real Espana — team news & stats 2026-11-05
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Before and after this match
- CD Olimpia, previous: Atlético Choloma vs CD Olimpia prediction
- CD Olimpia, next: CD Olimpia vs Olancho: odds and pick
- Juticalpa, previous: Real Espana vs Juticalpa: odds and pick
- Juticalpa, next: Juticalpa – Estrella Roja, 2026-11-07