Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC preview
In the match between Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Budapest Honved at 42%, while Kisvarda FC stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which has an 11% chance of occurring. This suggests a tight match, but the prediction could be impacted if either team finds their scoring form, as both teams to score has a 47% likelihood.
Budapest Honved's expected goals are 1.14, slightly higher than Kisvarda FC's 1.11. Recent form also indicates inconsistency, with Budapest Honved recording L-W-D-L-L-W and Kisvarda FC showing D-D-D-L-W-D. With a confidence grade of C, the match could swing either way, especially if either side improves their attacking play.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC: model vs market
| Source | Budapest Honved | Draw | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Published | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Budapest Honved, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | 2.06 | 2.09 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.44 | +0.04 |
| Kisvarda FC | 3.19 | 3.20 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.26
- Attack rating (Budapest Honved / Kisvarda FC)
- 0.85 / 0.74
- Defence rating (Budapest Honved / Kisvarda FC)
- 1.06 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Budapest Honved goals. Columns: Kisvarda FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Budapest Honved | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Kisvarda FC | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Budapest Honved or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Kisvarda FC) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Budapest Honved win by 2+ | 15% | 6.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC recent form
Budapest Honved
2W 1D 3L
Kisvarda FC
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Budapest Honved at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kisvarda FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Budapest Honved at home only, Kisvarda FC away only.
Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Budapest Honved 0 · draws 1 · Kisvarda FC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Kisvarda FC | 1-1 | Budapest Honved | NB I |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Zalaegerszegi TE v MTK Budapest — match page 2026-10-31
- Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas 2026-10-31
- Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks 2026-11-01
- Ujpest v Nyiregyhaza — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Budapest Honved, previous: Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC prediction
- Kisvarda FC, previous: Zalaegerszegi TE – Kisvarda FC, 2026-10-24