Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC preview
In the match between Puskas Academy and Debreceni VSC, the 1X2 probabilities show Puskas Academy at 44%, while both teams have a 28% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% prediction. Puskas Academy has expected goals of 1.52 compared to Debreceni VSC's 1.16, indicating a closer contest than the probabilities suggest.
However, both teams to score stands at 55%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 50%. This means a high-scoring game is still possible, especially given Debreceni VSC's recent form of 3 wins in their last 5 matches. If they can find their scoring touch, the match could deviate from the predicted low-scoring outcome.
Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC: model vs market
| Source | Puskas Academy | Draw | Debreceni VSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.16.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Puskas Academy and Debreceni VSC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Puskas Academy / Debreceni VSC)
- 0.97 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Puskas Academy / Debreceni VSC)
- 0.77 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Puskas Academy goals. Columns: Debreceni VSC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puskas Academy | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Debreceni VSC | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Puskas Academy or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Debreceni VSC) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puskas Academy win by 2+ | 23% | 4.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Puskas Academy and Debreceni VSC recent form
Puskas Academy
3W 0D 3L
Debreceni VSC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Puskas Academy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Debreceni VSC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Puskas Academy at home only, Debreceni VSC away only.
Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Puskas Academy 2 · draws 1 · Debreceni VSC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Debreceni VSC | 0-2 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2026-03-22 | Puskas Academy | 1-1 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| 2025-12-06 | Debreceni VSC | 0-1 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2025-08-22 | Puskas Academy | 1-3 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Zalaegerszegi TE v MTK Budapest — match page 2026-10-31
- Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas 2026-10-31
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks 2026-11-01
- Ujpest v Nyiregyhaza — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Puskas Academy, previous: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza: odds and pick
- Debreceni VSC, previous: Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC prediction