Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest preview
In the match between Debreceni VSC and Ujpest, the 1X2 probabilities show Debreceni VSC at 49% and Ujpest at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. Debreceni VSC has a higher expected goals figure of 1.88 compared to Ujpest's 1.32, which suggests they have the edge in attack.
However, Ujpest's recent form includes 2 wins in their last 3 matches, which could influence the outcome. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 63%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 62%, indicating a potential for a more open game. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest: model vs market
| Source | Debreceni VSC | Draw | Ujpest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 34% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Debreceni VSC below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Debreceni VSC, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debreceni VSC | 2.32 | 2.23 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.52 | -0.04 |
| Ujpest | 2.62 | 2.71 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Debreceni VSC / Ujpest)
- 1.16 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Debreceni VSC / Ujpest)
- 0.97 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Debreceni VSC goals. Columns: Ujpest goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Debreceni VSC | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Ujpest | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| No | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Debreceni VSC or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ujpest) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Debreceni VSC win by 2+ | 28% | 3.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Debreceni VSC and Ujpest recent form
Debreceni VSC
4W 1D 1L
Ujpest
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Debreceni VSC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ujpest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Debreceni VSC at home only, Ujpest away only.
Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Debreceni VSC 2 · draws 0 · Ujpest 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Ujpest | 4-2 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| 2026-05-16 | Debreceni VSC | 2-1 | Ujpest | NB I |
| 2026-02-13 | Ujpest | 2-1 | Debreceni VSC | NB I |
| 2025-10-26 | Debreceni VSC | 5-2 | Ujpest | NB I |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE 2026-11-07
- MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved 2026-11-07
- Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Nyiregyhaza v Gyori ETO FC — match page 2026-11-08
- Vasas vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Debreceni VSC, previous: Puskas Academy – Debreceni VSC, 2026-11-01
- Ujpest, previous: Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza prediction