Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy preview
In the fixture between Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy, the 1X2 probabilities show Kisvarda FC at 26%, a draw at 33%, and Puskas Academy at 41%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 14% chance according to our model.
Kisvarda FC has an expected goals figure of 0.84, while Puskas Academy stands at 1.13. With both teams to score at 40% and Over 2.5 goals at 31%, the potential for a low-scoring match exists. However, Kisvarda FC's recent form of L-D-D-D-L could hinder their performance, while Puskas Academy's recent W-W-W may boost their confidence.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy: model vs market
| Source | Kisvarda FC | Draw | Puskas Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Published | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Puskas Academy, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kisvarda FC | 3.12 | 2.90 | -0.22 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.25 | -0.05 |
| Puskas Academy | 2.08 | 2.18 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.09
- Attack rating (Kisvarda FC / Puskas Academy)
- 0.68 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Kisvarda FC / Puskas Academy)
- 0.83 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kisvarda FC goals. Columns: Puskas Academy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kisvarda FC | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| Puskas Academy | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kisvarda FC or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Puskas Academy) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puskas Academy win by 2+ | 16% | 6.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kisvarda FC and Puskas Academy recent form
Kisvarda FC
1W 3D 2L
Puskas Academy
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kisvarda FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puskas Academy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kisvarda FC at home only, Puskas Academy away only.
Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Kisvarda FC 4 · draws 2 · Puskas Academy 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Puskas Academy | 0-2 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2026-03-06 | Kisvarda FC | 1-0 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2025-11-22 | Puskas Academy | 2-0 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2025-08-10 | Kisvarda FC | 2-1 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2024-05-04 | Puskas Academy | 4-2 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2024-02-10 | Kisvarda FC | 0-2 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2023-10-06 | Puskas Academy | 1-0 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2023-04-01 | Kisvarda FC | 2-2 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
| 2022-11-05 | Puskas Academy | 0-1 | Kisvarda FC | NB I |
| 2022-08-14 | Kisvarda FC | 1-1 | Puskas Academy | NB I |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE 2026-11-07
- MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved 2026-11-07
- Nyiregyhaza v Gyori ETO FC — match page 2026-11-08
- Debreceni VSC v Ujpest — match page 2026-11-08
- Vasas vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Kisvarda FC, previous: Budapest Honved v Kisvarda FC analysis
- Puskas Academy, previous: Puskas Academy – Debreceni VSC, 2026-11-01