Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC preview
In the match between Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 37%, with a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Gyori ETO FC's expected goals of 1.67 compared to Nyiregyhaza's 1.09.
Nyiregyhaza's recent form is L-W-L-L-D-L, while Gyori ETO FC has a stronger record with D-W-W-L-W-W. This could lead to a scenario where the predicted outcome changes if Nyiregyhaza manages to improve their performance or if Gyori ETO FC underperforms. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 52%, and both teams to score stands at 55%, indicating potential for an open game.
Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC: model vs market
| Source | Nyiregyhaza | Draw | Gyori ETO FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gyori ETO FC below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.74, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gyori ETO FC, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza | 2.00 | 2.27 | +0.27 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.55 | -0.03 |
| Gyori ETO FC | 3.25 | 2.70 | -0.55 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.76
- Attack rating (Nyiregyhaza / Gyori ETO FC)
- 0.83 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Nyiregyhaza / Gyori ETO FC)
- 1.19 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nyiregyhaza goals. Columns: Gyori ETO FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nyiregyhaza | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Gyori ETO FC | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nyiregyhaza or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Gyori ETO FC) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gyori ETO FC win by 2+ | 27% | 3.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC recent form
Nyiregyhaza
1W 1D 4L
Gyori ETO FC
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nyiregyhaza at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gyori ETO FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nyiregyhaza at home only, Gyori ETO FC away only.
Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Nyiregyhaza 0 · draws 0 · Gyori ETO FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Gyori ETO FC | 4-0 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| 2026-04-05 | Gyori ETO FC | 1-0 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| 2025-12-13 | Nyiregyhaza | 0-1 | Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| 2025-08-31 | Gyori ETO FC | 1-0 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE 2026-11-07
- MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved 2026-11-07
- Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Debreceni VSC v Ujpest — match page 2026-11-08
- Vasas vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Nyiregyhaza, previous: Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza prediction
- Gyori ETO FC, previous: Gyori ETO FC v Vasas analysis