Updated

NB I · Matchday 12

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas

· ETO Park

Alin prediction Gyori ETO FC to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Gyori ETO FCDrawVasas
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.09.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Gyori ETO FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Gyori ETO FC2.05 Draw3.85 Vasas3.33

Price as of

Expected return at 2.05: -3.8% per unit staked

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas preview

In the match between Gyori ETO FC and Vasas, the 1X2 probabilities show Gyori ETO FC at 45%, Vasas at 30%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 10% chance of occurring. Gyori ETO FC has an expected goals figure of 1.60, while Vasas sits at 1.09, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.

However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Gyori ETO FC has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while Vasas has only won 2. Additionally, both teams to score has a 54% probability, which suggests that while Gyori ETO FC may dominate, Vasas could still find the net.

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGyori ETO FCDrawVasas
Model48%27%25%
Market46%24%29%
Published47%25%28%
Edge0%+1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Gyori ETO FC, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 2.09Now 1.97 -0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Gyori ETO FC2.091.97-0.12
Draw3.703.75+0.05
Vasas2.873.15+0.28

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Gyori ETO FC and Vasas expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.60Gyori ETO FC
1.09Vasas
Total expected goals
2.69
Attack rating (Gyori ETO FC / Vasas)
1.03 / 0.99
Defence rating (Gyori ETO FC / Vasas)
0.78 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.9% 6.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 1 9.7% 13.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.8% 2 8.7% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.6% 3 4.7% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Gyori ETO FC goals. Columns: Vasas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Gyori ETO FC47%2.13
Draw25%3.98
Vasas28%3.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551%1.98
Under 2.549%2.02
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.84
No46%2.18
Double chance1X (Gyori ETO FC or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Vasas)53%1.88
Handicap -1Gyori ETO FC win by 2+26%3.88
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Gyori ETO FC and Vasas recent form

Gyori ETO FC 4W 0D 2L
Vasas 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Gyori ETO FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.83
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vasas away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Gyori ETO FC at home only, Vasas away only.

Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Gyori ETO FC 0 · draws 1 · Vasas 0.

Gyori ETO FCDrawsVasas
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-26Vasas2-2Gyori ETO FCNB I

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Gyori ETO FC to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Gyori ETO FC