Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza preview
In the fixture between Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza, Ujpest has a 53% chance to win compared to Nyiregyhaza's 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 10% probability. Ujpest's expected goals stand at 1.92, while Nyiregyhaza's is lower at 1.22.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 61%, indicating a strong potential for a high-scoring match. However, Ujpest's recent form shows two losses in their last three matches, which could impact their performance. Nyiregyhaza has also been inconsistent, with only one win in their last six games. This unpredictability could lead to a different outcome than expected.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza: model vs market
| Source | Ujpest | Draw | Nyiregyhaza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.14
- Attack rating (Ujpest / Nyiregyhaza)
- 0.97 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Ujpest / Nyiregyhaza)
- 1.02 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ujpest goals. Columns: Nyiregyhaza goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ujpest | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Nyiregyhaza | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ujpest or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Nyiregyhaza) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ujpest win by 2+ | 31% | 3.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ujpest and Nyiregyhaza recent form
Ujpest
2W 2D 2L
Nyiregyhaza
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ujpest at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Nyiregyhaza away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ujpest at home only, Nyiregyhaza away only.
Ujpest vs Nyiregyhaza head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ujpest 1 · draws 2 · Nyiregyhaza 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Nyiregyhaza | 2-1 | Ujpest | NB I |
| 2026-04-17 | Ujpest | 7-2 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
| 2026-01-24 | Nyiregyhaza | 1-1 | Ujpest | NB I |
| 2025-09-26 | Ujpest | 2-2 | Nyiregyhaza | NB I |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Zalaegerszegi TE v MTK Budapest — match page 2026-10-31
- Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas 2026-10-31
- Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ujpest, previous: Gyori ETO FC vs Ujpest prediction
- Nyiregyhaza, previous: Puskas Academy vs Nyiregyhaza: odds and pick