Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest preview
In the fixture between Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest, the 1X2 probabilities show Zalaegerszegi TE at 44%, while MTK Budapest stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance, indicating a competitive match.
Both teams to score has a probability of 63%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 61%. However, Zalaegerszegi TE's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. MTK Budapest has struggled as well, with 4 losses in their last 6 games. These factors might lead to a different outcome than expected.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest: model vs market
| Source | Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 25% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / MTK Budapest)
- 0.87 / 0.84
- Defence rating (Zalaegerszegi TE / MTK Budapest)
- 1.19 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zalaegerszegi TE goals. Columns: MTK Budapest goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| MTK Budapest | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zalaegerszegi TE or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or MTK Budapest) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zalaegerszegi TE win by 2+ | 24% | 4.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest recent form
Zalaegerszegi TE
2W 1D 3L
MTK Budapest
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zalaegerszegi TE at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MTK Budapest away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zalaegerszegi TE at home only, MTK Budapest away only.
Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Zalaegerszegi TE 0 · draws 1 · MTK Budapest 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | MTK Budapest | 3-0 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
| 2026-04-11 | MTK Budapest | 3-0 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
| 2025-12-20 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1-1 | MTK Budapest | NB I |
| 2025-09-21 | MTK Budapest | 1-0 | Zalaegerszegi TE | NB I |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas 2026-10-31
- Puskas Academy vs Debreceni VSC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks 2026-11-01
- Ujpest v Nyiregyhaza — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Zalaegerszegi TE, previous: Zalaegerszegi TE – Kisvarda FC, 2026-10-24
- MTK Budapest, previous: Ferencvarosi TC – MTK Budapest, 2026-10-25