Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers preview
In the Premier Division match between Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers, the 1X2 probabilities show Shamrock Rovers at 73%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0 at 11%. Shamrock Rovers have an expected goals figure of 2.51, while Sligo Rovers sit at 0.84.
However, Sligo Rovers have a strong historical record against Shamrock Rovers, with 3 wins in their last 7 encounters. Additionally, both teams to score is at 53%, indicating that while Shamrock Rovers are favored, Sligo Rovers could find the net. The recent form also favors Shamrock Rovers, who have 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Sligo Rovers have lost their last 5.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: model vs market
| Source | Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| Published | 76% | 16% | 9% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.22, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update.
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.35
- Attack rating (Shamrock Rovers / Sligo Rovers)
- 1.07 / 0.62
- Defence rating (Shamrock Rovers / Sligo Rovers)
- 1.17 / 1.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shamrock Rovers goals. Columns: Sligo Rovers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shamrock Rovers | 76% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.41 | |
| Sligo Rovers | 9% | 11.25 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shamrock Rovers or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.18 | |
| X2 (draw or Sligo Rovers) | 24% | 4.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shamrock Rovers win by 2+ | 52% | 1.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers recent form
Shamrock Rovers
3W 1D 2L
Sligo Rovers
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shamrock Rovers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 13-3-1
- Win rate
- 76%
- Goals for / match
- 1.94
- Goals against / match
- 0.88
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 17
- They have won 19 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sligo Rovers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-12
- Win rate
- 12%
- Goals for / match
- 0.59
- Goals against / match
- 1.94
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 17
- They have won 5 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shamrock Rovers at home only, Sligo Rovers away only.
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Shamrock Rovers 3 · draws 1 · Sligo Rovers 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Sligo Rovers | 1-2 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2026-05-22 | Shamrock Rovers | 1-2 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2026-03-13 | Sligo Rovers | 0-2 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2025-11-01 | Shamrock Rovers | 1-2 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2025-07-05 | Sligo Rovers | 2-2 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2025-05-05 | Shamrock Rovers | 2-0 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| 2025-03-03 | Sligo Rovers | 2-1 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Derry City vs Dundalk 2026-10-23
- Bohemians v Shelbourne — match page 2026-10-23
- Waterford vs Drogheda United — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. 2026-10-23
Before and after this match
- Shamrock Rovers, previous: Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers: odds and pick
- Sligo Rovers, previous: Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk prediction