Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva preview
Maccabi Petah Tikva faces Hapoel Beer Sheva with 36% and 38% probabilities to win, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The model suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form shows 1 win in 6 matches, while Hapoel Beer Sheva has 3 wins in their last 6. The expected goals are close, with Maccabi at 1.55 and Hapoel at 1.59. These factors could influence the outcome if Maccabi improves their form or if Hapoel fails to maintain their recent success.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.14
- Attack rating (Maccabi Petah Tikva / Hapoel Beer Sheva)
- 1.00 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Maccabi Petah Tikva / Hapoel Beer Sheva)
- 1.23 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Petah Tikva goals. Columns: Hapoel Beer Sheva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 36% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Petah Tikva or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Beer Sheva) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva win by 2+ | 19% | 5.14 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1W 0D 5L
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Petah Tikva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Hapoel Beer Sheva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Petah Tikva at home only, Hapoel Beer Sheva away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona — match page 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv — match page 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Petah Tikva, previous: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction
- Hapoel Beer Sheva, previous: Maccabi Haifa – Hapoel Beer Sheva, 2026-10-26
- Hapoel Beer Sheva, next: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI prediction