Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona preview
Beitar Jerusalem has a 57% chance to win against Ironi Kiryat Shmona, who only has a 17% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with Beitar's expected goals of 1.75 compared to Ironi's 0.86.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 49%, suggesting a possibility for Ironi to find the net despite their recent form of six consecutive losses. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the model's predictions.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: model vs market
| Source | Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 11% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | -4% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Beitar Jerusalem, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.43 | 1.27 | -0.16 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 5.50 | +0.90 |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 5.88 | 8.67 | +2.79 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Beitar Jerusalem / Ironi Kiryat Shmona)
- 1.00 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Beitar Jerusalem / Ironi Kiryat Shmona)
- 0.74 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Beitar Jerusalem goals. Columns: Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 | |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 12% | 8.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Beitar Jerusalem or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Ironi Kiryat Shmona) | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beitar Jerusalem win by 2+ | 33% | 3.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form
Beitar Jerusalem
5W 1D 0L
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Beitar Jerusalem at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Beitar Jerusalem at home only, Ironi Kiryat Shmona away only.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Beitar Jerusalem 2 · draws 0 · Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1-2 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-09-20 | Beitar Jerusalem | 2-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv — match page 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Beitar Jerusalem, previous: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: odds and pick
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona, previous: Ironi Kiryat Shmona – Bnei Sakhnin, 2026-10-24