Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias preview
In the upcoming match between Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias, the 1X2 probabilities show Bnei Sakhnin at 37%, Ironi Tiberias at 32%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance according to our model. Bnei Sakhnin's expected goals stand at 0.78, while Ironi Tiberias has 0.98.
Both teams to score has a 35% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals is at 26%. Recent form indicates Bnei Sakhnin has won 2 out of their last 5 matches, while Ironi Tiberias has only 1 win in their last 5. These factors could lead to a low-scoring affair, but any unexpected performance from Ironi Tiberias could change the outcome.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias: model vs market
| Source | Bnei Sakhnin | Draw | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 36% | 38% |
| Market | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Published | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Edge | -4% | +2% | +2% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Bnei Sakhnin, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Sakhnin | 2.36 | 2.20 | -0.16 |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.18 | +0.03 |
| Ironi Tiberias | 2.80 | 3.15 | +0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.76
- Attack rating (Bnei Sakhnin / Ironi Tiberias)
- 0.57 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Bnei Sakhnin / Ironi Tiberias)
- 0.79 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bnei Sakhnin goals. Columns: Ironi Tiberias goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bnei Sakhnin | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Ironi Tiberias | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26% | 3.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.84 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bnei Sakhnin or draw) | 69% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Ironi Tiberias) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bnei Sakhnin win by 2+ | 9% | 11.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias recent form
Bnei Sakhnin
3W 1D 2L
Ironi Tiberias
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bnei Sakhnin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ironi Tiberias away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bnei Sakhnin at home only, Ironi Tiberias away only.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Bnei Sakhnin 1 · draws 2 · Ironi Tiberias 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bnei Sakhnin | 0-0 | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-24 | Ironi Tiberias | 1-1 | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-10-18 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2-0 | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona — match page 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv — match page 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Bnei Sakhnin, previous: Ironi Kiryat Shmona – Bnei Sakhnin, 2026-10-24
- Ironi Tiberias, previous: Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya analysis