Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon preview
Maccabi Netanya faces Hapoel Katamon with a 57% chance of winning, while the most likely scoreline is 2-1. Maccabi Netanya has an expected goals figure of 1.93 compared to Hapoel Katamon's 1.02, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, Maccabi Netanya's recent form shows they have only managed 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 matches. Hapoel Katamon, despite their struggles, recently secured a win and could pose a challenge. Both teams to score stands at 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 57%, suggesting a competitive match could unfold.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Published | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.03.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Netanya, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Netanya | 1.60 | 1.59 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.05 | +0.05 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 4.66 | 4.76 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Maccabi Netanya / Hapoel Katamon)
- 0.94 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Maccabi Netanya / Hapoel Katamon)
- 0.79 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Netanya goals. Columns: Hapoel Katamon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Netanya | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Hapoel Katamon | 19% | 5.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Netanya or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Katamon) | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Netanya win by 2+ | 34% | 2.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon recent form
Maccabi Netanya
1W 3D 2L
Hapoel Katamon
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Netanya at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hapoel Katamon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Netanya at home only, Hapoel Katamon away only.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Maccabi Netanya 2 · draws 1 · Hapoel Katamon 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Maccabi Netanya | 1-0 | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-09 | Maccabi Netanya | 1-1 | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-09-27 | Hapoel Katamon | 1-2 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona — match page 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv — match page 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Netanya, previous: Ironi Tiberias v Maccabi Netanya analysis
- Hapoel Katamon, previous: Hapoel Katamon v Hapoel Tel Aviv analysis