Updated

Ligat Ha'al · Matchday 10

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya

· Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa

Alin prediction Maccabi Haifa to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Maccabi HaifaDrawMaccabi Netanya
  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Maccabi Haifa is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Maccabi Haifa1.82 Draw4.13 Maccabi Netanya4.03

Price as of

Expected return at 1.82: -10.6% per unit staked

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya preview

Maccabi Haifa faces Maccabi Netanya with a 49% chance of winning compared to 27% for Netanya. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 8% of the time according to our model. There is a 63% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score.

Maccabi Haifa's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Maccabi Netanya has 3 wins in their last 6. Expected goals are close, with Maccabi Haifa at 1.60 and Maccabi Netanya at 1.66. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMaccabi HaifaDrawMaccabi Netanya
Model36%25%39%
Market53%23%24%
Published49%24%27%
Edge-4%+1%+4%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Haifa, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.68Now 1.73 +0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Maccabi Haifa1.681.73+0.05
Draw4.004.03+0.03
Maccabi Netanya4.003.92-0.08

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.60Maccabi Haifa
1.66Maccabi Netanya
Total expected goals
3.26
Attack rating (Maccabi Haifa / Maccabi Netanya)
1.42 / 1.00
Defence rating (Maccabi Haifa / Maccabi Netanya)
1.15 / 0.73

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.8% 1 5.1% 11.2% 8.5% 4.7% 2.8% 2 4.9% 8.1% 6.8% 3.8% 2.3% 3 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 1.2% 4+ 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7%

Rows: Maccabi Haifa goals. Columns: Maccabi Netanya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
66%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Maccabi Haifa49%2.04
Draw24%4.25
Maccabi Netanya27%3.65
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.58
Under 2.537%2.73
Both teams to scoreYes66%1.52
No34%2.92
Double chance1X (Maccabi Haifa or draw)73%1.38
12 (either side)76%1.31
X2 (draw or Maccabi Netanya)51%1.96
Handicap -1Maccabi Haifa win by 2+18%5.47
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya recent form

Maccabi Haifa 4W 0D 2L
Maccabi Netanya 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Maccabi Haifa at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.25
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Maccabi Netanya away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Haifa at home only, Maccabi Netanya away only.

Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Maccabi Haifa 7 · draws 0 · Maccabi Netanya 3.

Maccabi HaifaDrawsMaccabi Netanya
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-24Maccabi Netanya4-1Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
2025-10-18Maccabi Haifa2-3Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2025-05-24Maccabi Netanya2-3Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
2025-04-20Maccabi Haifa1-0Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2025-01-14Maccabi Haifa1-0Maccabi NetanyaState Cup
2024-12-21Maccabi Haifa2-1Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
2024-08-31Maccabi Netanya0-2Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
2024-08-17Maccabi Haifa2-1Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al
2024-04-03Maccabi Haifa1-3Maccabi NetanyaState Cup
2024-01-21Maccabi Haifa4-0Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Maccabi Haifa to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Maccabi Haifa