Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya preview
Maccabi Haifa faces Maccabi Netanya with a 49% chance of winning compared to 27% for Netanya. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 8% of the time according to our model. There is a 63% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance for both teams to score.
Maccabi Haifa's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Maccabi Netanya has 3 wins in their last 6. Expected goals are close, with Maccabi Haifa at 1.60 and Maccabi Netanya at 1.66. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya: model vs market
| Source | Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Maccabi Netanya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +4% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Haifa, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 1.68 | 1.73 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.03 | +0.03 |
| Maccabi Netanya | 4.00 | 3.92 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.26
- Attack rating (Maccabi Haifa / Maccabi Netanya)
- 1.42 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Maccabi Haifa / Maccabi Netanya)
- 1.15 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Maccabi Haifa goals. Columns: Maccabi Netanya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Haifa | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Maccabi Netanya | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Maccabi Haifa or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Maccabi Netanya) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Haifa win by 2+ | 18% | 5.47 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer | |
| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Maccabi Haifa and Maccabi Netanya recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Maccabi Haifa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Maccabi Netanya away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Haifa at home only, Maccabi Netanya away only.
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Netanya head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Maccabi Haifa 7 · draws 0 · Maccabi Netanya 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Maccabi Netanya | 4-1 | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-10-18 | Maccabi Haifa | 2-3 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-05-24 | Maccabi Netanya | 2-3 | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-04-20 | Maccabi Haifa | 1-0 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-01-14 | Maccabi Haifa | 1-0 | Maccabi Netanya | State Cup |
| 2024-12-21 | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-08-31 | Maccabi Netanya | 0-2 | Maccabi Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-08-17 | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 | Maccabi Netanya | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2024-04-03 | Maccabi Haifa | 1-3 | Maccabi Netanya | State Cup |
| 2024-01-21 | Maccabi Haifa | 4-0 | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2026-11-06
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Hapoel Haifa — match page 2026-11-07
- Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Maccabi Haifa, previous: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa prediction
- Maccabi Netanya, previous: Maccabi Netanya – Hapoel Katamon, 2026-10-31