Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem preview
In the fixture between Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem, the 1X2 probabilities show Ironi Tiberias at 16%, a draw at 21%, and Beitar Jerusalem at 63%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Beitar Jerusalem has shown strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Ironi Tiberias has not won in their last 6 games.
The expected goals indicate Ironi Tiberias at 0.99 and Beitar Jerusalem at 1.22. While both teams to score has a 46% chance, Ironi Tiberias' recent struggles could affect their ability to find the net. Additionally, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem: model vs market
| Source | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| Published | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| Edge | +4% | +4% | -8% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Beitar Jerusalem, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 6.12 | 8.05 | +1.94 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 5.50 | +0.80 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.42 | 1.29 | -0.13 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.21
- Attack rating (Ironi Tiberias / Beitar Jerusalem)
- 0.87 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Ironi Tiberias / Beitar Jerusalem)
- 0.88 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ironi Tiberias goals. Columns: Beitar Jerusalem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 16% | 6.37 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 | |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.20 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ironi Tiberias or draw) | 36% | 2.77 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Beitar Jerusalem) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Beitar Jerusalem win by 2+ | 18% | 5.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem recent form
Ironi Tiberias
0W 3D 3L
Beitar Jerusalem
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ironi Tiberias at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beitar Jerusalem away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ironi Tiberias at home only, Beitar Jerusalem away only.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ironi Tiberias 1 · draws 2 · Beitar Jerusalem 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Beitar Jerusalem | 3-2 | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-12-27 | Ironi Tiberias | 1-2 | Beitar Jerusalem | State Cup |
| 2025-12-03 | Ironi Tiberias | 0-5 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-12-23 | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-1 | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-08-31 | Ironi Tiberias | 1-0 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2023-01-03 | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-1 | Ironi Tiberias | State Cup |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2026-11-06
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan 2026-11-07
- Maccabi Haifa v Maccabi Netanya — match page 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Hapoel Haifa — match page 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ironi Tiberias, previous: Bnei Sakhnin – Ironi Tiberias, 2026-10-31
- Beitar Jerusalem, previous: Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: odds and pick