Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa preview
In the match between Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa, the 1X2 probabilities show Hapoel Haifa at 40%, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which aligns with Hapoel Haifa's stronger expected goals of 1.48 compared to Ironi Kiryat Shmona's 1.21.
However, Ironi Kiryat Shmona has a better head-to-head record in their last 3 matches, with 2 wins and 1 draw against Hapoel Haifa. This could affect the outcome, especially considering the recent form, where Ironi Kiryat Shmona has struggled with 6 consecutive games without a win. The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa: model vs market
| Source | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Hapoel Haifa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hapoel Haifa, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2.69 | 2.73 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.49 | +0.12 |
| Hapoel Haifa | 2.40 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Ironi Kiryat Shmona / Hapoel Haifa)
- 0.72 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Ironi Kiryat Shmona / Hapoel Haifa)
- 1.06 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals. Columns: Hapoel Haifa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Hapoel Haifa | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ironi Kiryat Shmona or draw) | 60% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Haifa) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Haifa win by 2+ | 21% | 4.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa recent form
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0W 1D 5L
Hapoel Haifa
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ironi Kiryat Shmona at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hapoel Haifa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ironi Kiryat Shmona at home only, Hapoel Haifa away only.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 5 · draws 4 · Hapoel Haifa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Hapoel Haifa | 1-3 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2026-07-10 | Hapoel Haifa | 0-0 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-05-03 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2-0 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-19 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 3-1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-10-04 | Hapoel Haifa | 0-0 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-07-23 | Hapoel Haifa | 0-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2025-02-24 | Hapoel Haifa | 4-3 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-11-29 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2-1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2024-08-04 | Hapoel Haifa | 1-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2023-03-19 | Hapoel Haifa | 1-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2026-11-06
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan 2026-11-07
- Maccabi Haifa v Maccabi Netanya — match page 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona, previous: Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: odds and pick
- Hapoel Haifa, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva prediction