Updated

Ligat Ha'al · Matchday 10

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

· Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv

Full time2 – 2

Alin prediction was Maccabi Tel Aviv to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 3 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawMaccabi Petah Tikva

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMaccabi Tel AvivDrawMaccabi Petah Tikva
Model84%10%6%
Market79%13%8%
Published80%12%7%
Edge+1%-1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.72 vs 1.05.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Maccabi Tel Aviv, 7 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.17Now 1.16 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.171.16-0.01
Draw6.506.85+0.35
Maccabi Petah Tikva11.0312.00+0.97

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Petah Tikva expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.72Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.05Maccabi Petah Tikva
Total expected goals
4.77
Attack rating (Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Petah Tikva)
1.69 / 1.03
Defence rating (Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Petah Tikva)
0.70 / 1.44

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 1 2.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 2 5.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 3 7.3% 7.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 4+ 17.9% 18.7% 9.8% 3.4% 1.1%

Rows: Maccabi Tel Aviv goals. Columns: Maccabi Petah Tikva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 99%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 85%
Over 3.5 70%
Both teams to score
64%
No goals (0–0)
1%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Maccabi Tel Aviv80%1.24
Draw12%8.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva7%13.92
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585%1.17
Under 2.515%6.86
Both teams to scoreYes64%1.57
No36%2.75
Double chance1X (Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw)93%1.08
12 (either side)88%1.14
X2 (draw or Maccabi Petah Tikva)20%5.08
Handicap -1Maccabi Tel Aviv win by 2+70%1.43
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Maccabi Tel Aviv and Maccabi Petah Tikva recent form

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4W 2D 0L
Maccabi Petah Tikva 1W 0D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Maccabi Tel Aviv at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
3.25
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).

Maccabi Petah Tikva away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Maccabi Tel Aviv at home only, Maccabi Petah Tikva away only.

Expected lineups

Maccabi Tel Aviv lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 O. Melika
  2. 11 S. Yehezkel
  3. 13 R. Shlomo
  4. 5 M. Camara
  5. 2 J. Tavernier
  6. 28 I. Sissokho
  7. 29 Hélio Varela
  8. 16 G. Kanichowsky
  9. 42 Dor Peretz
  10. 77 O. Davida
  11. 19 E. Madmon

Bench: E. Sokler, D. Glazer, S. Rosen, I. Noy, H. Layous, I. Shahar, I. Ben Hamo, R. Mishpati

Maccabi Petah Tikva lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 D. Hevron
  2. 12 I. Baruch
  3. 18 E. Tibi
  4. 6 E. Yao
  5. 26 G. Deznet
  6. 99 Eyal Inbrum
  7. 20 I. Cohen
  8. 9 S. Owusu
  9. 77 J. Cortés
  10. 53 L. Hazan

Bench: K. Spence, G. Hadida, L. Kasa, Y. Koren, O. Dadya, M. Erlich, P. Korrea, Y. Oz

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 · draws 1 · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.

Maccabi Tel AvivDrawsMaccabi Petah Tikva
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2024-12-21Maccabi Tel Aviv3-2Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
2024-09-01Maccabi Petah Tikva0-3Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
2024-07-15Maccabi Tel Aviv2-0Maccabi Petah TikvaSuper Cup
2024-04-02Maccabi Petah Tikva4-2Maccabi Tel AvivState Cup
2024-03-02Maccabi Tel Aviv4-0Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
2023-12-24Maccabi Petah Tikva1-2Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
2023-03-01Maccabi Petah Tikva1-2Maccabi Tel AvivState Cup
2023-02-01Maccabi Tel Aviv4-0Maccabi Petah TikvaState Cup
2021-12-27Maccabi Petah Tikva1-2Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
2021-09-11Maccabi Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match