Updated

Ligat Ha'al · Matchday 10

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan

· HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva

Alin prediction Hapoel Ramat Gan to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Hapoel Petah TikvaDrawHapoel Ramat Gan
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this, so it is not a value bet.
Best market odds
Hapoel Petah Tikva2.53 Draw3.56 Hapoel Ramat Gan2.67

Price as of

Expected return at 2.67: -2.1% per unit staked

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan preview

In the Ligat Ha'al fixture, Hapoel Petah Tikva faces Hapoel Ramat Gan, with 1X2 probabilities showing Hapoel Petah Tikva at 35% and Hapoel Ramat Gan at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 12% of the time according to our model. Hapoel Petah Tikva's recent form is concerning, with 6 consecutive losses, while Hapoel Ramat Gan has won 2 of their last 5 matches.

The expected goals are 1.00 for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.16 for Hapoel Ramat Gan, indicating a slight edge for the visitors. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 37%, and both teams to score is at 45%. If Hapoel Petah Tikva can improve their form, the outcome could shift, but their struggles make a win challenging.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceHapoel Petah TikvaDrawHapoel Ramat Gan
Model30%32%38%
Market37%27%36%
Published35%28%37%
Edge-2%+1%0%
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Hapoel Ramat Gan, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 2.52Now 2.54 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Hapoel Petah Tikva2.512.48-0.03
Draw3.403.42+0.02
Hapoel Ramat Gan2.522.54+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.00Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.16Hapoel Ramat Gan
Total expected goals
2.16
Attack rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
0.48 / 0.68
Defence rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
1.18 / 1.36

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.8% 12.0% 7.7% 3.0% 1.1% 1 10.2% 14.7% 7.8% 3.0% 1.1% 2 5.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.6% 3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Hapoel Petah Tikva goals. Columns: Hapoel Ramat Gan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 37%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Hapoel Petah Tikva35%2.84
Draw28%3.56
Hapoel Ramat Gan37%2.73
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537%2.72
Under 2.563%1.58
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.23
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (Hapoel Petah Tikva or draw)63%1.58
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan)65%1.54
Handicap -1Hapoel Ramat Gan win by 2+17%6.02
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan recent form

Hapoel Petah Tikva 0W 0D 6L
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Hapoel Petah Tikva at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.

Hapoel Ramat Gan away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Petah Tikva at home only, Hapoel Ramat Gan away only.

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 · draws 2 · Hapoel Ramat Gan 3.

Hapoel Petah TikvaDrawsHapoel Ramat Gan
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-29Hapoel Ramat Gan2-1Hapoel Petah TikvaToto Cup Ligat Al
2025-05-05Hapoel Ramat Gan0-1Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
2025-03-03Hapoel Ramat Gan1-2Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
2024-10-29Hapoel Petah Tikva1-1Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
2023-02-24Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
2022-11-04Hapoel Ramat Gan1-1Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
2021-02-12Hapoel Petah Tikva1-0Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
2020-11-02Hapoel Ramat Gan2-0Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
2020-02-28Hapoel Ramat Gan1-2Hapoel Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
2019-11-08Hapoel Petah Tikva1-0Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Hapoel Ramat Gan to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Hapoel Ramat Gan