Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan preview
In the Ligat Ha'al fixture, Hapoel Petah Tikva faces Hapoel Ramat Gan, with 1X2 probabilities showing Hapoel Petah Tikva at 35% and Hapoel Ramat Gan at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 12% of the time according to our model. Hapoel Petah Tikva's recent form is concerning, with 6 consecutive losses, while Hapoel Ramat Gan has won 2 of their last 5 matches.
The expected goals are 1.00 for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 1.16 for Hapoel Ramat Gan, indicating a slight edge for the visitors. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 37%, and both teams to score is at 45%. If Hapoel Petah Tikva can improve their form, the outcome could shift, but their struggles make a win challenging.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan: model vs market
| Source | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Ramat Gan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 32% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Published | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hapoel Ramat Gan, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2.51 | 2.48 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.42 | +0.02 |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 2.52 | 2.54 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
- 0.48 / 0.68
- Defence rating (Hapoel Petah Tikva / Hapoel Ramat Gan)
- 1.18 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hapoel Petah Tikva goals. Columns: Hapoel Ramat Gan goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| No | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hapoel Petah Tikva or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Ramat Gan win by 2+ | 17% | 6.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Ramat Gan recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hapoel Petah Tikva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
Hapoel Ramat Gan away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Petah Tikva at home only, Hapoel Ramat Gan away only.
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ramat Gan head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 · draws 2 · Hapoel Ramat Gan 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 2-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2025-05-05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 0-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| 2025-03-03 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1-2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| 2024-10-29 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1-1 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| 2023-02-24 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-1 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| 2022-11-04 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| 2021-02-12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1-0 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
| 2020-11-02 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 2-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| 2020-02-28 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1-2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
| 2019-11-08 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1-0 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | Liga Leumit |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva 2026-11-06
- Maccabi Haifa v Maccabi Netanya — match page 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona v Hapoel Haifa — match page 2026-11-07
- Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Hapoel Petah Tikva, previous: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva prediction
- Hapoel Ramat Gan, previous: Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv analysis