Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva preview
Hapoel Haifa has a 54% chance to win against Hapoel Petah Tikva, who has only a 19% chance, making this a clear pick for a 1X2 bet. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with expected goals of 1.65 for Hapoel Haifa and 0.89 for Hapoel Petah Tikva. However, both teams to score stands at 49%, indicating that while Hapoel Haifa is favored, there's a chance Petah Tikva could find the net.
Recent form shows Hapoel Haifa with a record of L-L-W-L-W-D, while Hapoel Petah Tikva has L-D-L-L-L-W. This inconsistency for Petah Tikva could impact the match's outcome. Additionally, the 47% chance for Over 2.5 goals suggests that a low-scoring game is more likely, but surprises can happen in football.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: model vs market
| Source | Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Published | 51% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hapoel Haifa, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.86 | 1.85 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.65 | +0.05 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 3.60 | 3.65 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.38
- Attack rating (Hapoel Haifa / Hapoel Petah Tikva)
- 0.94 / 0.50
- Defence rating (Hapoel Haifa / Hapoel Petah Tikva)
- 1.17 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hapoel Haifa goals. Columns: Hapoel Petah Tikva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.20 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hapoel Haifa or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Hapoel Petah Tikva) | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Haifa win by 2+ | 29% | 3.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva recent form
Hapoel Haifa
2W 1D 3L
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hapoel Haifa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hapoel Haifa at home only, Hapoel Petah Tikva away only.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hapoel Haifa 1 · draws 1 · Hapoel Petah Tikva 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-1 | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-11-09 | Hapoel Haifa | 2-2 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona — match page 2026-10-31
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv — match page 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa 2026-10-31
- Maccabi Netanya v Hapoel Katamon — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Hapoel Haifa, previous: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa prediction
- Hapoel Petah Tikva, previous: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem: odds and pick