Balzan FC vs Hibernians preview
In the Malta Premier League fixture between Balzan FC and Hibernians, the 1X2 probabilities show Balzan FC at 49%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 12%. Balzan FC's expected goals stand at 1.47, while Hibernians have 0.93. This indicates a stronger attacking performance from Balzan FC.
However, the recent form could influence the outcome. Balzan FC has drawn four of their last five matches, while Hibernians have won two of their last five. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 43%, and both teams to score is at 48%. If Hibernians can improve their scoring, they might challenge Balzan FC's edge.
Balzan FC vs Hibernians: model vs market
| Source | Balzan FC | Draw | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.93.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Balzan FC and Hibernians expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (Balzan FC / Hibernians)
- 0.99 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Balzan FC / Hibernians)
- 0.92 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Balzan FC vs Hibernians score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Balzan FC goals. Columns: Hibernians goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Balzan FC vs Hibernians goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Balzan FC vs Hibernians
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Hibernians | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Balzan FC or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Hibernians) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Balzan FC win by 2+ | 25% | 3.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Balzan FC and Hibernians recent form
Balzan FC
1W 4D 1L
Hibernians
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Balzan FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Hibernians away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Balzan FC at home only, Hibernians away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Gzira United v Marsaxlokk — match page 2026-10-31
- Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta 2026-10-31
- Floriana v Valletta FC — match page 2026-10-31
- Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Balzan FC, previous: Balzan FC – Birkirkara, 2026-10-25
- Hibernians, previous: Mosta vs Hibernians prediction