Bokelj vs Dečić preview
Bokelj faces Dečić with a 52% probability of winning compared to Dečić's 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 21% of the time in our model. Bokelj's expected goals stand at 1.19, while Dečić's is much lower at 0.52.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. With both teams to score at only 29% and Over 2.5 goals at 24%, low-scoring scenarios are more likely. Recent form shows Bokelj with mixed results, while Dečić has recently improved, winning their last match. This could impact the outcome, making it less predictable.
Bokelj vs Dečić: model vs market
| Source | Bokelj | Draw | Dečić |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 33% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.52.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bokelj and Dečić expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.71
- Attack rating (Bokelj / Dečić)
- 0.94 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Bokelj / Dečić)
- 0.60 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bokelj vs Dečić score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bokelj goals. Columns: Dečić goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bokelj vs Dečić goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 29%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bokelj vs Dečić
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Dečić | 15% | 6.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29% | 3.43 |
| No | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bokelj or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Dečić) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win by 2+ | 24% | 4.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Bokelj and Dečić recent form
Bokelj
2W 3D 1L
Dečić
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bokelj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dečić away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bokelj at home only, Dečić away only.
Bokelj vs Dečić head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bokelj 2 · draws 2 · Dečić 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Dečić | 1-0 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-24 | Bokelj | 1-0 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-04 | Dečić | 0-0 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-12-06 | Bokelj | 1-1 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-27 | Dečić | 0-2 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Mornar vs Mladost DG 2026-10-24
- Jezero vs Petrovac — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Bokelj, previous: Sutjeska – Bokelj, 2026-10-19
- Dečić, previous: Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica prediction