Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica preview
In the fixture between Dečić and Buducnost Podgorica, the 1X2 probabilities show Dečić at 28% and Buducnost Podgorica at 36%, with a draw also at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, which occurs 20% of the time according to our model. Both teams to score stands at 34%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 24%.
Dečić's expected goals are 0.78, while Buducnost Podgorica has 0.93. Recent form indicates Dečić has two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Buducnost Podgorica has three wins, one loss, and one draw. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica: model vs market
| Source | Dečić | Draw | Buducnost Podgorica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 36% | 36% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Published | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Edge | -17% | +6% | +11% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dečić, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 2.98 | 2.98 | +0.00 |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 3.48 | 3.58 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dečić and Buducnost Podgorica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.70
- Attack rating (Dečić / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 0.88 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Dečić / Buducnost Podgorica)
- 0.94 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dečić goals. Columns: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.95 |
| No | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dečić or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Buducnost Podgorica) | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dečić win by 2+ | 9% | 11.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dečić and Buducnost Podgorica recent form
Dečić
2W 2D 2L
Buducnost Podgorica
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dečić at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Buducnost Podgorica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dečić at home only, Buducnost Podgorica away only.
Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dečić 3 · draws 4 · Buducnost Podgorica 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-2 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-26 | Dečić | 0-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-01 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-12-14 | Dečić | 1-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-22 | Dečić | 3-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | Cup |
| 2025-08-24 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-0 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-05-24 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 | Dečić | First League |
| 2025-04-02 | Dečić | 1-1 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-12-01 | Buducnost Podgorica | 3-1 | Dečić | First League |
| 2024-09-27 | Dečić | 0-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Mladost DG v Jezero — match page 2026-10-18
- Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic — match page 2026-10-19
- Sutjeska vs Bokelj 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Dečić, next: Bokelj vs Dečić prediction
- Buducnost Podgorica, previous: Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska prediction
- Buducnost Podgorica, next: Buducnost Podgorica v Arsenal Tivat analysis