Updated

Montenegro First League · Matchday 11

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic

· Stadion Mitar Mico Golis, Petrovac

Alin prediction Otrant-Olympic to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PetrovacDrawOtrant-Olympic

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic preview

In the fixture between Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic, the 1X2 probabilities show Otrant-Olympic at 45% and Petrovac at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects the expected goals of 1.07 for Petrovac and 1.48 for Otrant-Olympic.

Petrovac's recent form is concerning, with 6 matches yielding only 2 draws and 4 losses. In contrast, Otrant-Olympic has shown better form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches. While there is a 52% chance for both teams to score and a 47% chance for Over 2.5 goals, the unpredictability of football means these outcomes could differ from expectations.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePetrovacDrawOtrant-Olympic
Model26%28%46%
Market———
Published26%28%46%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.07Petrovac
1.48Otrant-Olympic
Total expected goals
2.55
Attack rating (Petrovac / Otrant-Olympic)
0.78 / 1.38
Defence rating (Petrovac / Otrant-Olympic)
1.09 / 1.02

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.0% 10.3% 8.6% 4.2% 2.2% 1 7.1% 13.6% 9.2% 4.5% 2.3% 2 4.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 3 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 4+ 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Petrovac goals. Columns: Otrant-Olympic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 47%
Over 3.5 25%
Both teams to score
52%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Petrovac26%3.85
Draw28%3.51
Otrant-Olympic46%2.20
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547%2.13
Under 2.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes52%1.92
No48%2.08
Double chance1X (Petrovac or draw)54%1.84
12 (either side)72%1.40
X2 (draw or Otrant-Olympic)74%1.35
Handicap -1Otrant-Olympic win by 2+23%4.30
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Petrovac and Otrant-Olympic recent form

Petrovac 0W 4D 2L
Otrant-Olympic 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Petrovac at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Otrant-Olympic away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Petrovac at home only, Otrant-Olympic away only.

Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Petrovac 0 · draws 1 · Otrant-Olympic 0.

PetrovacDrawsOtrant-Olympic
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-09Otrant-Olympic0-0PetrovacMontenegro First League

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Otrant-Olympic to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Otrant-Olympic