Sutjeska vs Bokelj preview
In the Montenegro First League fixture between Sutjeska and Bokelj, the 1X2 probabilities show Sutjeska at 31%, a draw at 39%, and Bokelj at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 24% chance according to our model.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Sutjeska recording D-W-W-W-D-W and Bokelj at W-D-W-L-D-D. The expected goals are close, with Sutjeska at 0.75 and Bokelj at 0.74. With only a 19% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance for both teams to score, the match could easily end in a low-scoring draw, challenging the predictions.
Sutjeska vs Bokelj: model vs market
| Source | Sutjeska | Draw | Bokelj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 39% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 30% | 39% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sutjeska and Bokelj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.49
- Attack rating (Sutjeska / Bokelj)
- 0.93 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Sutjeska / Bokelj)
- 0.79 / 0.60
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sutjeska vs Bokelj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sutjeska goals. Columns: Bokelj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sutjeska vs Bokelj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 29%
- No goals (0–0)
- 24%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sutjeska vs Bokelj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sutjeska | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 39% | 2.53 | |
| Bokelj | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19% | 5.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29% | 3.48 |
| No | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sutjeska or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| X2 (draw or Bokelj) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sutjeska win by 2+ | 10% | 10.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sutjeska and Bokelj recent form
Sutjeska
4W 2D 0L
Bokelj
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sutjeska at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bokelj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sutjeska at home only, Bokelj away only.
Sutjeska vs Bokelj head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sutjeska 4 · draws 0 · Bokelj 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Bokelj | 1-0 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-02 | Bokelj | 2-3 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-07 | Sutjeska | 2-1 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-01 | Bokelj | 4-5 | Sutjeska | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-30 | Sutjeska | 5-2 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Mladost DG v Jezero — match page 2026-10-18
- Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica 2026-10-18
- Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic — match page 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Sutjeska, previous: Buducnost Podgorica vs Sutjeska prediction
- Sutjeska, next: Otrant-Olympic v Sutjeska analysis
- Bokelj, next: Bokelj vs Dečić prediction