Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska preview
In the match between Otrant-Olympic and Sutjeska, the 1X2 probabilities show Otrant-Olympic at 48%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 12%. Otrant-Olympic has an expected goals figure of 1.47, while Sutjeska sits at 0.94.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, and both teams to score is at 48%. However, the recent form indicates that Otrant-Olympic has been inconsistent with a record of D-W-W-L-W-W, while Sutjeska has been more stable with D-W-W-W-D-W. This could affect the outcome, as Sutjeska's stronger recent performance may challenge Otrant-Olympic's home advantage.
Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska: model vs market
| Source | Otrant-Olympic | Draw | Sutjeska |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.94.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Otrant-Olympic and Sutjeska expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Otrant-Olympic / Sutjeska)
- 1.38 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Otrant-Olympic / Sutjeska)
- 1.02 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Otrant-Olympic goals. Columns: Sutjeska goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Otrant-Olympic | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Sutjeska | 23% | 4.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Otrant-Olympic or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Sutjeska) | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win by 2+ | 25% | 4.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Otrant-Olympic and Sutjeska recent form
Otrant-Olympic
4W 1D 1L
Sutjeska
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Otrant-Olympic at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sutjeska away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Otrant-Olympic at home only, Sutjeska away only.
Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Otrant-Olympic 1 · draws 0 · Sutjeska 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Sutjeska | 1-4 | Otrant-Olympic | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Mornar vs Mladost DG 2026-10-24
- Bokelj v Dečić — match page 2026-10-24
- Jezero vs Petrovac — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Otrant-Olympic, previous: Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic analysis
- Sutjeska, previous: Sutjeska – Bokelj, 2026-10-19