Jezero vs Petrovac preview
In the match between Jezero and Petrovac, the 1X2 probabilities show Jezero at 52%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Jezero's expected goals are 1.81, while Petrovac's are lower at 1.15. This suggests Jezero may have the edge in attack.
However, Jezero's recent form includes just 1 win in 6 matches (D-L-D-L-W-L), and they have not won against Petrovac in their last 5 encounters, recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Both teams to score stands at 58%, and the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is at 57%, indicating potential for a high-scoring game.
Jezero vs Petrovac: model vs market
| Source | Jezero | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Jezero and Petrovac expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Jezero / Petrovac)
- 1.24 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Jezero / Petrovac)
- 1.50 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Jezero vs Petrovac score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Jezero goals. Columns: Petrovac goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Jezero vs Petrovac goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Jezero vs Petrovac
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jezero | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Petrovac | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Jezero or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Petrovac) | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | Jezero win by 2+ | 29% | 3.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Jezero and Petrovac recent form
Jezero
1W 2D 3L
Petrovac
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Jezero at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Jezero at home only, Petrovac away only.
Jezero vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Jezero 0 · draws 2 · Petrovac 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Petrovac | 3-0 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-12 | Jezero | 1-1 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-02-21 | Petrovac | 2-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-05 | Jezero | 1-3 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-10 | Petrovac | 1-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Buducnost Podgorica vs Arsenal Tivat — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Mornar vs Mladost DG 2026-10-24
- Bokelj v Dečić — match page 2026-10-24
- Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Jezero, previous: Mladost DG – Jezero, 2026-10-18
- Petrovac, previous: Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic analysis