Mladost DG vs Jezero preview
In the Montenegro First League match between Mladost DG and Jezero, the 1X2 probabilities show Mladost DG at 46%, Jezero at 30%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% probability. Mladost DG has an expected goals figure of 1.95, while Jezero sits at 1.56.
Both teams to score stands at 69%, and Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 68%. Mladost DG's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Jezero has 1 win in their last 6. The head-to-head record favors Jezero with 3 wins from the last 5 encounters. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Mladost DG vs Jezero: model vs market
| Source | Mladost DG | Draw | Jezero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Published | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Edge | -1% | -4% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.92, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.
Mladost DG vs Jezero odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mladost DG, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost DG | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.18 | 3.18 | +0.00 |
| Jezero | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mladost DG and Jezero expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.51
- Attack rating (Mladost DG / Jezero)
- 0.96 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Mladost DG / Jezero)
- 1.28 / 1.50
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mladost DG vs Jezero score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mladost DG goals. Columns: Jezero goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mladost DG vs Jezero goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mladost DG vs Jezero
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mladost DG | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Jezero | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.13 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.46 |
| No | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mladost DG or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Jezero) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mladost DG win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mladost DG and Jezero recent form
Mladost DG
2W 1D 3L
Jezero
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mladost DG at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jezero away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mladost DG at home only, Jezero away only.
Mladost DG vs Jezero head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Mladost DG 2 · draws 2 · Jezero 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Jezero | 1-0 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-16 | Jezero | 2-2 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-15 | Mladost DG | 3-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-26 | Mladost DG | 0-2 | Jezero | Cup |
| 2025-11-22 | Jezero | 1-0 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-17 | Mladost DG | 0-1 | Jezero | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-01-24 | Mladost DG | 0-0 | Jezero | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-05-04 | Jezero | 0-1 | Mladost DG | First League |
| 2024-03-09 | Mladost DG | 0-1 | Jezero | First League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Dečić vs Buducnost Podgorica 2026-10-18
- Petrovac v Otrant-Olympic — match page 2026-10-19
- Sutjeska vs Bokelj 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Mladost DG, previous: Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG prediction
- Mladost DG, next: Mornar vs Mladost DG: odds and pick
- Jezero, previous: Mornar – Jezero, 2026-10-08
- Jezero, next: Jezero – Petrovac, 2026-10-24