Enyimba vs Ikorodu City preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture, Enyimba has a 59% chance to win against Ikorodu City, who has only a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of Enyimba, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.86 compared to Ikorodu City's 0.89.
Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a close match could unfold. However, Enyimba's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Ikorodu City has drawn 3 times in their last 5. This unpredictability could affect the outcome, making it possible for the match to not go as projected.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City: model vs market
| Source | Enyimba | Draw | Ikorodu City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 24% | 16% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Enyimba and Ikorodu City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (Enyimba / Ikorodu City)
- 0.97 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Enyimba / Ikorodu City)
- 1.08 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Enyimba goals. Columns: Ikorodu City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Enyimba vs Ikorodu City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enyimba | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Ikorodu City | 16% | 6.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Enyimba or draw) | 84% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Ikorodu City) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Enyimba win by 2+ | 35% | 2.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Enyimba and Ikorodu City recent form
Enyimba
2W 1D 3L
Ikorodu City
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Enyimba at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Ikorodu City away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Enyimba at home only, Ikorodu City away only.
Enyimba vs Ikorodu City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Enyimba 1 · draws 3 · Ikorodu City 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Ikorodu City | 1-1 | Enyimba | Federation Cup |
| 2026-02-15 | Enyimba | 0-1 | Ikorodu City | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-09-28 | Ikorodu City | 1-1 | Enyimba | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-03-16 | Ikorodu City | 2-2 | Enyimba | NPFL |
| 2024-10-27 | Enyimba | 2-1 | Ikorodu City | NPFL |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Shooting Stars vs Bendel Insurance — team news & stats 2026-11-13
- Doma United vs Barau FC 2026-11-14
- Kano Pillars vs Ranchers Bees 2026-11-14
- Inter Lagos vs Abia Warriors — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Katsina United v Nasarawa United — match page 2026-11-15
- Kwara United vs Rivers United — team news & stats 2026-11-15
- Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers 2026-11-15
- Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos 2026-11-15
Before and after this match
- Enyimba, previous: Ranchers Bees vs Enyimba: odds and pick
- Ikorodu City, previous: Ikorodu City vs Inter Lagos prediction