Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers preview
In the Nigeria Premier Football League fixture, Niger Tornadoes face Enugu Rangers with a 50% probability for a home win and a 34% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 20% likelihood. Niger Tornadoes have an expected goals figure of 1.16, while Enugu Rangers sit at 0.54.
While both teams to score has a 30% chance, the lower expected goals for Enugu Rangers suggests they may struggle to find the net. Recent form shows Niger Tornadoes with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Enugu Rangers have won 4 of their last 5. This could impact the outcome, making a draw or away win possible despite the model's lean towards a home victory.
Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers: model vs market
| Source | Niger Tornadoes | Draw | Enugu Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.58.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Niger Tornadoes and Enugu Rangers expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.68
- Attack rating (Niger Tornadoes / Enugu Rangers)
- 0.82 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Niger Tornadoes / Enugu Rangers)
- 0.78 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Niger Tornadoes goals. Columns: Enugu Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Niger Tornadoes | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Enugu Rangers | 18% | 5.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.27 |
| No | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Niger Tornadoes or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| X2 (draw or Enugu Rangers) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Niger Tornadoes win by 2+ | 20% | 4.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Niger Tornadoes and Enugu Rangers recent form
Niger Tornadoes
3W 2D 1L
Enugu Rangers
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Niger Tornadoes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Enugu Rangers away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Niger Tornadoes at home only, Enugu Rangers away only.
Niger Tornadoes vs Enugu Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Niger Tornadoes 2 · draws 3 · Enugu Rangers 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Niger Tornadoes | 0-0 | Enugu Rangers | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-11-23 | Enugu Rangers | 1-0 | Niger Tornadoes | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-01-25 | Enugu Rangers | 1-2 | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| 2024-12-29 | Niger Tornadoes | 0-1 | Enugu Rangers | NPFL |
| 2024-03-03 | Niger Tornadoes | 0-2 | Enugu Rangers | NPFL |
| 2023-10-15 | Enugu Rangers | 2-1 | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| 2023-04-16 | Enugu Rangers | 2-2 | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
| 2023-01-29 | Niger Tornadoes | 0-0 | Enugu Rangers | NPFL |
| 2022-04-20 | Niger Tornadoes | 2-1 | Enugu Rangers | NPFL |
| 2022-01-02 | Enugu Rangers | 4-0 | Niger Tornadoes | NPFL |
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Before and after this match
- Niger Tornadoes, previous: Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes: odds and pick
- Enugu Rangers, previous: Enugu Rangers vs Kwara United prediction
- Enugu Rangers, next: Sporting Lagos vs Enugu Rangers prediction