Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah preview
In the upcoming match between Al-Duhail SC and Al Wakrah, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Duhail SC at 51%, while Al Wakrah stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 69%.
Al-Duhail SC's expected goals are 2.13, compared to Al Wakrah's 1.50. Recent form favors Al-Duhail SC, who have three wins and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Al Wakrah has three wins but two losses in their last six. A draw is possible, and if Al Wakrah improves their performance, it could impact the expected outcome.
Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah: model vs market
| Source | Al-Duhail SC | Draw | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.50.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Duhail SC and Al Wakrah expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Al-Duhail SC / Al Wakrah)
- 1.23 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Al-Duhail SC / Al Wakrah)
- 0.74 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Duhail SC goals. Columns: Al Wakrah goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Duhail SC | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Al Wakrah | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Duhail SC or draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Wakrah) | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Duhail SC win by 2+ | 31% | 3.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al-Duhail SC and Al Wakrah recent form
Al-Duhail SC
3W 3D 0L
Al Wakrah
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Duhail SC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Wakrah away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Duhail SC at home only, Al Wakrah away only.
Al-Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al-Duhail SC 6 · draws 0 · Al Wakrah 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | Al Wakrah | 0-2 | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| 2025-08-23 | Al-Duhail SC | 0-1 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2025-02-07 | Al-Duhail SC | 2-0 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2024-12-13 | Al-Duhail SC | 3-1 | Al Wakrah | QSL Cup |
| 2024-09-14 | Al Wakrah | 0-2 | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| 2024-03-10 | Al Wakrah | 2-1 | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| 2023-12-17 | Al-Duhail SC | 2-3 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2023-02-09 | Al-Duhail SC | 2-1 | Al Wakrah | Qatar Cup |
| 2023-01-30 | Al Wakrah | 0-1 | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| 2022-08-03 | Al-Duhail SC | 2-4 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Al Shahaniya v Al Ahli Doha — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Sadd vs Al Shamal 2026-10-30
- Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Al-Arabi SC v Al-Rayyan SC — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Al-Duhail SC, previous: Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City prediction
- Al Wakrah, previous: Al Wakrah v Al-Arabi SC analysis