Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC preview
In the Stars League match on 2026-10-24, Al Wakrah has a 28% chance to win, while Al-Arabi SC stands at 49%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each at 67%. Al Wakrah's expected goals are 1.47, compared to Al-Arabi SC's 1.98, suggesting a competitive match.
Al Wakrah's recent form shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, while Al-Arabi SC has 4 wins and 3 draws. This indicates Al-Arabi SC is in better form, which could affect the outcome. A draw is also a possibility, given the 24% chance. The confidence grade for this match is C, implying uncertainty in the predictions.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC: model vs market
| Source | Al Wakrah | Draw | Al-Arabi SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 24% | 49% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.45
- Attack rating (Al Wakrah / Al-Arabi SC)
- 1.16 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Al Wakrah / Al-Arabi SC)
- 1.01 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Wakrah goals. Columns: Al-Arabi SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wakrah | 28% | 3.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Al-Arabi SC | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Wakrah or draw) | 51% | 1.95 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Arabi SC) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Arabi SC win by 2+ | 28% | 3.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC recent form
Al Wakrah
2W 2D 2L
Al-Arabi SC
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Wakrah at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Arabi SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wakrah at home only, Al-Arabi SC away only.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al Wakrah 2 · draws 2 · Al-Arabi SC 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Al Wakrah | 0-1 | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| 2025-09-02 | Al Wakrah | 1-3 | Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup |
| 2025-08-15 | Al-Arabi SC | 2-2 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2025-01-24 | Al Wakrah | 4-3 | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| 2024-08-17 | Al-Arabi SC | 1-1 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2024-04-05 | Al Wakrah | 2-4 | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| 2023-11-25 | Al-Arabi SC | 2-1 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2023-10-08 | Al-Arabi SC | 2-0 | Al Wakrah | QSL Cup |
| 2023-04-29 | Al-Arabi SC | 1-2 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2023-01-12 | Al Wakrah | 1-2 | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd 2026-10-22
- Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha 2026-10-22
- Al Shamal vs Qatar SC — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al-Sailiya v Al-Rayyan SC — match page 2026-10-23
- Al-Duhail SC v Lusail City — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Al Wakrah, previous: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah prediction
- Al-Arabi SC, previous: Al Shahaniya v Al-Arabi SC analysis