Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC preview
In the Stars League match between Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Sailiya at 12%, a draw at 17%, and Al-Rayyan SC at 71%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with Al-Rayyan SC expected to score 2.80 goals compared to Al-Sailiya's 0.72.
Al-Rayyan SC's recent form includes 4 wins and 2 draws, while Al-Sailiya has struggled with 6 consecutive losses. There is a 68% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score. If Al-Sailiya can improve their attacking output or if Al-Rayyan SC underperforms, the predictions could change.
Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC: model vs market
| Source | Al-Sailiya | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6% | 14% | 80% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| Published | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| Edge | -7% | -4% | +11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al-Rayyan SC, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Sailiya | 6.62 | 7.00 | +0.38 |
| Draw | 4.95 | 5.00 | +0.05 |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 1.33 | 1.33 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.51
- Attack rating (Al-Sailiya / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 0.80 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Al-Sailiya / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 1.51 / 0.54
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Sailiya goals. Columns: Al-Rayyan SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Sailiya | 11% | 8.80 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.82 | |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Sailiya or draw) | 29% | 3.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Rayyan SC) | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win by 2+ | 60% | 1.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC recent form
Al-Sailiya
0W 1D 5L
Al-Rayyan SC
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Sailiya at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 3.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al-Rayyan SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Sailiya at home only, Al-Rayyan SC away only.
Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al-Sailiya 2 · draws 3 · Al-Rayyan SC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Al-Sailiya | 1-1 | Al-Rayyan SC | QSL Cup |
| 2026-01-06 | Al-Sailiya | 1-3 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2025-11-14 | Al-Sailiya | 1-4 | Al-Rayyan SC | QSL Cup |
| 2025-08-14 | Al-Rayyan SC | 3-1 | Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| 2023-04-14 | Al-Sailiya | 2-2 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2023-03-07 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1-2 | Al-Sailiya | Emir Cup |
| 2023-01-05 | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-0 | Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| 2022-03-23 | Al-Sailiya | 3-2 | Al-Rayyan SC | QSL Cup |
| 2022-02-10 | Al-Sailiya | 1-1 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| 2021-10-26 | Al-Rayyan SC | 4-2 | Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd 2026-10-22
- Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha 2026-10-22
- Al Shamal vs Qatar SC — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Al-Duhail SC v Lusail City — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Al-Sailiya, previous: Al-Sailiya v Qatar SC analysis
- Al-Rayyan SC, previous: Al-Gharafa – Al-Rayyan SC, 2026-10-18