Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC preview
In the Stars League fixture between Al Sadd and Al-Rayyan SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Sadd at 25%, a draw at 23%, and Al-Rayyan SC leading at 52%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Al-Rayyan SC's expected goals stand at 2.07, compared to Al Sadd's 1.42, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
Both teams to score sits at 67%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 68%. Al Sadd's recent form includes 4 wins and 2 losses, while Al-Rayyan SC has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, especially given Al Sadd's head-to-head advantage with 1 win and 1 draw in their last 2 meetings.
Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC: model vs market
| Source | Al Sadd | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| Published | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.42.
- The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below our published probability: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 3.10, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +19.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al-Rayyan SC, 2 snapshots since 2026-11-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.83 | +0.03 |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 2.70 | 2.67 | -0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al Sadd and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.50
- Attack rating (Al Sadd / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 1.75 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Al Sadd / Al-Rayyan SC)
- 1.02 / 0.49
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Sadd goals. Columns: Al-Rayyan SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 38% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Sadd or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Rayyan SC) | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win by 2+ | 31% | 3.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Sadd and Al-Rayyan SC recent form
Al Sadd
4W 0D 2L
Al-Rayyan SC
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Sadd at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.9 goals per match.
- They average 5.3 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al-Rayyan SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Sadd at home only, Al-Rayyan SC away only.
Al Sadd vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al Sadd 1 · draws 1 · Al-Rayyan SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1-1 | Al Sadd | Stars League |
| 2025-10-30 | Al Sadd | 5-1 | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha 2026-11-06
- Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya 2026-11-06
- Al Shamal v Al-Sailiya — match page 2026-11-07
- Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Lusail City vs Qatar SC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Al Sadd, previous: Al Sadd v Al Shamal analysis
- Al-Rayyan SC, previous: Al-Arabi SC v Al-Rayyan SC analysis