Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya preview
In the Stars League fixture between Al Wakrah and Al Shahaniya, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Wakrah at 56%, while Al Shahaniya sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Al Wakrah has an expected goals figure of 2.32 compared to Al Shahaniya's 1.48, indicating a strong attacking performance.
Both teams to score has a probability of 70%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 73%. However, Al Wakrah's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Al Shahaniya has struggled more, with 5 losses in their last 6 games, but any improvement could change the expected outcome.
Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya: model vs market
| Source | Al Wakrah | Draw | Al Shahaniya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Published | 55% | 23% | 23% |
| Edge | 0% | -1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.48.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al Wakrah and Al Shahaniya expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.80
- Attack rating (Al Wakrah / Al Shahaniya)
- 1.11 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Al Wakrah / Al Shahaniya)
- 1.11 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Wakrah goals. Columns: Al Shahaniya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wakrah | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Al Shahaniya | 23% | 4.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.42 |
| No | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Wakrah or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Shahaniya) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wakrah win by 2+ | 35% | 2.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Wakrah and Al Shahaniya recent form
Al Wakrah
3W 1D 2L
Al Shahaniya
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Wakrah at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Shahaniya away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Wakrah at home only, Al Shahaniya away only.
Expected lineups
Al Wakrah lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 99 Omair Al Sayed
- 12 Murad Naji Hussein
- 2 Lucas Mendes
- 3 P. Calione
- 16 Nabil Irfan
- 6 Omar Al Osad
- 93 A. Laïdouni
- 75 A. Zouhzouh
- 18 Luis Alberto
- 7 A. Assal
- 17 R. Boussafi
Bench: Mohammed Al Bakri, Ahmed Fadel, A. Zaky, Almahdi Ali, Tamer Seyam, Nasser Al Yazidi, Yousef Mohammed Ramadan, Abdollah Ali Saei, Yousef El Khatib, Moayed Hassan
Al Shahaniya lineup · 4-2-3-1
- 99 Shehab Ellethy
- 19 Abdulla Al Sulaiti
- 31 Z. Šarlija
- 22 S. van Beek
- 2 A. Mohamed
- 6 Álvaro Sanz
- 88 Moameen Mutasem
- 9 A. Traoré
- 10 F. Antonucci
- 21 Mohamed Surag
Bench: Bahaa Ellithi, Mohamed Sayyar, A. Meherzi, Jawad El Jemili, Mohamed Abdallah, Abdulrahman Fahmi Moustafa, A. Al Sulimane, Ali Qadry, Mohamed Saeed, Khalid Muftah, Yousef Hani Ballan
Al Wakrah vs Al Shahaniya head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Al Wakrah 6 · draws 1 · Al Shahaniya 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | Al Wakrah | 4-0 | Al Shahaniya | Stars League |
| 2025-11-27 | Al Wakrah | 3-0 | Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup |
| 2025-08-29 | Al Shahaniya | 0-1 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2025-01-31 | Al Wakrah | 0-1 | Al Shahaniya | Stars League |
| 2024-08-23 | Al Shahaniya | 0-1 | Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| 2024-03-02 | Al Shahaniya | 3-1 | Al Wakrah | QFA Cup |
| 2023-03-08 | Al Wakrah | 1-1 | Al Shahaniya | Emir Cup |
| 2022-04-13 | Al Wakrah | 0-1 | Al Shahaniya | QFA Cup |
| 2022-02-16 | Al Wakrah | 3-1 | Al Shahaniya | Emir Cup |
| 2020-01-31 | Al Wakrah | 4-1 | Al Shahaniya | Stars League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha 2026-11-06
- Al Shamal v Al-Sailiya — match page 2026-11-07
- Al-Gharafa vs Al-Duhail SC — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Lusail City vs Qatar SC — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Al Sadd v Al-Rayyan SC — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Al Wakrah, previous: Al-Duhail SC – Al Wakrah, 2026-10-31
- Al Shahaniya, previous: Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli Doha: odds and pick