Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm preview
In the Saudi Arabia Pro League fixture between Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Khaleej Saihat at 37% to win, while Al-Hazm is at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score stands at 52%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net.
Al Khaleej Saihat's recent form includes 2 wins and 4 draws, while Al-Hazm has 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. The expected goals are close, with Al Khaleej Saihat at 1.29 and Al-Hazm at 1.21. If Al-Hazm improves their form or if the match sees more goals than expected, the outcome could differ from the forecast.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm: model vs market
| Source | Al Khaleej Saihat | Draw | Al-Hazm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +3% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Khaleej Saihat, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 2.07 | 2.07 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.48 | +0.00 |
| Al-Hazm | 3.26 | 3.26 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (Al Khaleej Saihat / Al-Hazm)
- 0.78 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Al Khaleej Saihat / Al-Hazm)
- 1.23 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Khaleej Saihat goals. Columns: Al-Hazm goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 42% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Al-Hazm | 31% | 3.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Khaleej Saihat or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Hazm) | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Khaleej Saihat win by 2+ | 14% | 7.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Hazm recent form
Al Khaleej Saihat
2W 3D 1L
Al-Hazm
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Khaleej Saihat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Hazm away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Khaleej Saihat at home only, Al-Hazm away only.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al Khaleej Saihat 2 · draws 0 · Al-Hazm 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 2-1 | Al-Hazm | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2025-11-06 | Al-Hazm | 1-4 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Al-Nassr v Al Kholood — match page 2026-10-29
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Abha v Al-Ittihad FC — match page 2026-10-30
- Al Diriyah vs NEOM 2026-10-30
- Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Al Khaleej Saihat, previous: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat prediction
- Al-Hazm, previous: Al-Hazm – Al-Fayha, 2026-10-22