Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC preview
In the upcoming match between Abha and Al-Ittihad FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Ittihad FC at 61%, while Abha sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Al-Ittihad FC's expected goals of 2.06 compared to Abha's 1.01.
However, Abha's recent form includes four losses and only one draw in their last five matches, which could impact their performance. Despite this, both teams to score stands at 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 59%, indicating potential for a higher-scoring game. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC: model vs market
| Source | Abha | Draw | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 22% | 62% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 22% | 62% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.98
- Attack rating (Abha / Al-Ittihad FC)
- 0.69 / 1.29
- Defence rating (Abha / Al-Ittihad FC)
- 1.11 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Abha goals. Columns: Al-Ittihad FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Abha | 15% | 6.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Abha or draw) | 38% | 2.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Ittihad FC) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Ittihad FC win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Abha and Al-Ittihad FC recent form
Abha
0W 2D 4L
Al-Ittihad FC
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Abha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Al-Ittihad FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Abha at home only, Al-Ittihad FC away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Hazm — match page 2026-10-29
- Al-Nassr v Al Kholood — match page 2026-10-29
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Al Diriyah vs NEOM 2026-10-30
- Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah — team news & stats 2026-10-30
Before and after this match
- Abha, previous: Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC prediction
- Abha, next: Abha v Al Kholood analysis
- Al-Ittihad FC, previous: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction
- Al-Ittihad FC, next: Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab analysis